Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa992e51335d421da44b9badf581fc2d387d47a8830767521ac761fd80c463d13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 76c | 35,191$26,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,472.42 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 6c | 24,208$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.45 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 17,343$8,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,244.04 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 55c | 14,468$8,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,447.29 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 79c | 10,281$8,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.14 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 18c | 7,822$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.82 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed No | 44c | 6,791$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked No | 16c | 5,520$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 78c | 5,500$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 13c | 5,403$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.58 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 5,397$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.86 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed No | 16c | 4,543$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 3,839$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.68 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 63c | 3,167$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 44c | 3,035$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.87 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 51c | 1,958$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.61 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 15c | 1,880$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.32 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.67 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed No | 14c | 1,609$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 18c | 1,563$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.7 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,549$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.81 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 17c | 1,187$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.34 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 73c | 1,075$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.12 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,072$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.85 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 69c | 1,058$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.55 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 72c | 963.02$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.46 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Yes | 52c | 912$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 59c | 876.7$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.22 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 13c | 841.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 57c | 637.87$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.3 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 58c | 608.23$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.57 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed No | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 17c | 587.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.7 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 66c | 557.28$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.87 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 50c | 556.25$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked No | 43c | 500.12$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.54 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 77c | 417.38$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 60c | 415$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.36 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 18c | 391.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 18c | 389$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 60c | 354.51$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.93 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 29c | 321.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 19c | 306.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.9 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed No | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 38c | 262$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 19c | 258.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 18c | 253.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 59c | 236.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed No | 42c | 235.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…4261backed Yes | 43c | 226.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 50c | 222.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked No | 56c | 212.93$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 48c | 210.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 51c | 200.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…2d0dbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…351cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 49c | 195.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…ef4cbacked No | 52c | 192.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed No | 10c | 191.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 181.07$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed No | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 16c | 170$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 41c | 169.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 16c | 153.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 16c | 153.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.63 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 131.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 25c | 127.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 62c | 126.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 14c | 121.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed No | 19c | 117.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 51c | 115.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 17c | 112$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 27c | 107.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 46c | 104.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 51c | 103.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…2341backed No | 17c | 87.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 44c | 83.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b4…d19fbacked Yes | 49c | 82.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 20c | 66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 73c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed No | 26c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Yes | 58c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked No | 26c | 51.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.