TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13c8…a814

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
269
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Mls, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT9951.5%51 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Dbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$1,258.1
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$1,834.38
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$122.52
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$782.75
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs FaZe (+3.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$522.59
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$813.81
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,027.52
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,012.69
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked ex-Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ARCRED (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Abacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$565.56
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$666
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.83
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,262.82
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.14
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$567.77
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.19
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.51
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,529.68
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$120
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.5%+$950.49
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.43
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$58.94
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$101.34
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$136.69
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$305.52
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$746.06
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$278.57
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.73
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.68
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$609.09
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+123%+$536.8
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$473
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT6342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$406.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$232.52
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,508.77
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$694.92
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,300.1
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,322.11
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250.83
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$1,095.15
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,196.84
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$241.07
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$288.63
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$651.56
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.37
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$434.48
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.91
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$800.51
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$382.51
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$533
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$985.45
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$991.44
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Valorant — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.24
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Wolves Esports (+1.5)backed XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$128.25
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.79
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$310.69
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)backed All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$90.88
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$754.68
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.44
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$105.61
Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.1
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$16.32
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.02
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.32
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$370
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,013.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rīga FC vs. FK Vardar Skopje: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.