TailMyPicks
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,399,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,514,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,399,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 695 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex57c201,504$115,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,867.161,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Team Yandex54c52,324$28,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,897.7512259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit43c46,401$19,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,774.328159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Team Spirit54c33,151$17,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,816.249733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit38c24,929$9,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,369.6196557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Team Yandex59c22,500$13,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,165.089055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Team Yandex52c22,495$11,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,835.8821155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Team Yandex60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0005145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Spirit42c20,000$8,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,449.9919847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Spirit45c19,524$8,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,858.5471143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Yandex58c19,126$11,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,048.6540051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Spirit35c17,028$5,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,896.8351049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex49c16,898$8,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,629.5889741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Spirit34c16,848$5,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,712.2150347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit42c16,745$7,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,019.9845139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit46c15,187$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00053451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Team Yandex43c15,000$6,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,549.9847646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex57c14,670$8,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,271.771,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit39c14,436$5,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,686.5248954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Team Spirit38c14,024$5,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,329.095048%24 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Yandex66c13,254$8,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,517.0730667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex58c12,641$7,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,369.211,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Spirit41c12,000$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,92011953.8%64 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Spirit44c11,820$5,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,174.1850850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Spirit44c10,675$4,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,708.5223435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Team Spirit49c10,350$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.711654.3%63 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80026540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex58c9,999$5,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,214.021,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked Team Spirit41c9,951$4,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.253644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Yandex52c9,773$5,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,647.11,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Team Yandex62c9,689$5,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,689.6730357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Team Spirit37c9,428$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50018950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex58c9,000$5,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.0180256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex60c8,934$5,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,590.61,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Team Yandex63c8,776$5,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,247.078360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2deb…2b13backed Team Spirit47c8,622$4,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,07411551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c7…42e7backed Team Spirit40c8,401$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,325.0110256.9%58 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Team Yandex58c8,396$4,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.3229352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed Team Spirit41c8,341$3,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,401.742339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Team Yandex57c8,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,44030452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed Team Spirit37c7,960$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.793943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8bf3backed Team Spirit37c7,870$2,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,911.834148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Team Yandex46c7,772$3,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,201.132549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c23…d48fbacked Team Spirit44c7,300$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Spirit44c7,215$3,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,165.2316641%68 W · 98 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43bb…26dbbacked Team Spirit21c7,185$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.511030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex57c7,072$4,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,041.0279959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Spirit41c7,040$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8889643.8%42 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1720…3c09backed Team Yandex60c7,033$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.932240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299b…cdc1backed Team Spirit54c6,876$3,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7326552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Team Spirit45c6,666$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.698143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed Team Spirit50c6,653$3,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.3216553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit40c6,470$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.7241242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Team Spirit45c6,450$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.54850%24 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a96…7a34backed Team Spirit29c6,181$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.33735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Spirit2c6,009$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.137811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Team Spirit1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed Team Spirit39c5,850$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.514136.9%52 W · 89 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit44c5,666$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.5456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Yandex78c5,463$4,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.3653764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Team Spirit41c5,359$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.0722644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Team Spirit39c5,274$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.8410051%51 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Spirit37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.9913960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed Team Spirit39c4,991$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.012040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e23…1c3dbacked Team Yandex69c4,989$3,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.7411254.5%61 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Yandex44c4,842$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.849852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad42…6031backed Team Spirit48c4,679$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2598648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed Team Spirit38c4,626$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.396639.4%26 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Spirit41c4,596$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86522340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Team Yandex46c4,555$2,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.5310651.9%55 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed Team Yandex53c4,500$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.7822663.3%143 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Yandex61c4,466$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.9224246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Team Spirit42c4,110$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.4345352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ae…920bbacked Team Spirit38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Yandex56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76053652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Team Spirit8c3,882$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5810045%45 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Spirit40c3,717$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.916637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit37c3,705$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.4964744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed Team Yandex55c3,646$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.086564.6%42 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Spirit47c3,623$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.5725446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Team Spirit40c3,614$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.1816149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f6…2463backed Team Spirit42c3,600$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5121127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit39c3,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.6269644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab6a…2978backed Team Spirit40c3,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed Team Spirit40c3,249$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.5121158.3%123 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc585…8244backed Team Spirit43c3,245$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.171741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit20c3,229$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.241,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked Team Spirit57c3,211$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.3619853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d7…3a17backed Team Spirit43c3,178$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.695438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Team Spirit43c3,166$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.2624153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Spirit38c3,156$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.8735737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Team Yandex64c3,127$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.563548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Team Spirit50c3,018$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50024255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Team Yandex51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47032445.1%146 W · 178 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Spirit42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9927153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Team Yandex50c3,000$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.4952046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Yandex55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9936547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Yandex58c2,980$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.5161456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked Team Spirit39c2,856$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.845750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc1…c168backed Team Spirit46c2,850$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.992429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.