TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1196…fe97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
530
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT23020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 230 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.1
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$238
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.35
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.54
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.99
Showing 25 of 230 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 3 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.41
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,553.92
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$927.91
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,502.28
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,496.32
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,173.12
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$3,108.71
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$4,969.04
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,699.78
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT6841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.94
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,383.74
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$926Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$925.88
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,633.66
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.52
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,227.76
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,003.57
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,755Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,754.94
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$821.5
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.89
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,225.55
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,862Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$3,289.92
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,259.44
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,742Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,741.5
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$931.04
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.43
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,198.56
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,751Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,751.42
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.69
Knicks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.01
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,507Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,507.2
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,417Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,416.9
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$4,089.59
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$516.77
Cavaliers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.74
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT6634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,192.04
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$797.6
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,498.13
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,038Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,493.88
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$935.69
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,530.66
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.61
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$992.9
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,705Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$2,346.74
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,672Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$1,584.81
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,973Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,973.13
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$958.28
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$887.45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,333Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$6,657.73
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,782.95
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,186.51
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,438.16
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$6,480.72
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,456.85
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,993.24
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,021.07
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,815Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,725.58
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.09
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST3056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.36
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$52.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+129.8%+$56.4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$166.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+79.3%+$81.86
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.99
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 40°F or higher on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.31
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+75.6%+$21.39
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$59.92
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+152.5%+$278.49
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.42
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+129.3%+$82.89
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+52.1%+$72.71
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+225.7%+$25.94
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+99.7%+$166.98
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.66
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$49.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+82.4%+$69.23
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+109.6%+$66.56
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+165.7%+$22.09
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+65.4%+$64.19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$53.9
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$11
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$235.5
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$220
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.47
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$267.45
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+214.7%+$1,227.99
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$156.51
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sparta Rotterdam vs. NEC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+119.9%+$46.71
Galatasaray SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,533Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,799.26
FC Famalicão vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$842Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+132.6%+$1,116.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$3,047.2
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$100.8
Levante UD vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$57.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.8%+$18.79
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+177.8%+$118.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+94%+$1,000.65
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,054Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$5,771.71
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.76
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$637.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,571Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+203%+$3,189.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$5,749.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$241.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Carabobo FC vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+100%+$172
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Kartal (-1.5) vs Linette (+1.5)backed Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.