TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RED Canidsof RED Canids, Gentle Mates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$235,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$278,420

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed Gentle Mates64c38,510$24,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,617.3514441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed RED Canids36c26,431$9,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,915.622049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gentle Mates31c11,637$3,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,645.123,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gentle Mates6c10,036$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.93,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked RED Canids70c6,775$4,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.451,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed RED Canids36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,84016152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed RED Canids74c5,997$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.722,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Gentle Mates11c4,558$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.3832425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked RED Canids36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5609148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Gentle Mates45c3,876$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.5239248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed RED Canids66c3,511$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.6649646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked RED Canids70c2,857$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.161,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates28c2,797$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.056,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed RED Canids40c2,750$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.6451252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed RED Canids79c2,666$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.878564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed RED Canids70c2,594$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.8887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed RED Canids64c2,509$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.241,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed RED Canids37c2,378$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.136634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Gentle Mates33c2,307$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.9821528.8%62 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Gentle Mates3c2,271$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.515042%21 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f7…afa6backed Gentle Mates52c2,158$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.919852%51 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed RED Canids68c2,142$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.512253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Gentle Mates46c2,104$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.5920838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids58c1,827$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.887,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates38c1,815$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.294,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked RED Canids54c1,795$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.6119355.4%107 W · 86 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Gentle Mates60c1,237$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.2160848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gentle Mates30c1,186$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.232,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Gentle Mates29c1,186$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.491,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked RED Canids66c1,177$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.961,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed RED Canids59c1,151$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.694,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Gentle Mates14c1,146$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.762,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Gentle Mates30c1,091$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.856732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Gentle Mates16c999.51$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.263,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Gentle Mates36c882.51$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.222,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed Gentle Mates16c869.66$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.472227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Gentle Mates23c861.06$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0455738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Gentle Mates35c852.21$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…6911backed Gentle Mates7c812.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6550%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Gentle Mates24c810.74$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8241850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff5…7bd9backed RED Canids51c807.79$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.264344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed RED Canids69c797.38$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0688746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked RED Canids64c767.15$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.621,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked RED Canids65c739.94$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0840140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Gentle Mates58c722.7$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.162250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked RED Canids43c695.69$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.655,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Gentle Mates58c631.43$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.66154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Gentle Mates63c625.15$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.0137445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x856b…5f76backed Gentle Mates43c606.17$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.264757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Gentle Mates24c603$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.743,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed RED Canids70c595.57$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8355950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked RED Canids70c565.6$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.051,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Gentle Mates21c560$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.461837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Gentle Mates27c523.32$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.321351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Gentle Mates36c511.72$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3529235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Gentle Mates22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed RED Canids39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30553444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2489…ee90backed RED Canids39c492.93$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.243548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked RED Canids68c490.54$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6640950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Gentle Mates23c446.71$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.111,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Gentle Mates63c442.34$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.671,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked RED Canids79c431.89$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.711443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9959…c137backed Gentle Mates38c420.83$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.191323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-53.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gentle Mates43c400.21$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.631,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed RED Canids54c390.7$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3997040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Gentle Mates57c357.23$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6225248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed RED Canids37c334.7$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8611655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Gentle Mates47c329.18$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6650846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Gentle Mates53c308.04$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.269232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Gentle Mates18c303.02$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.018053.8%43 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates28c301.28$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.295,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Gentle Mates52c287.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5669635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Gentle Mates20c282.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.42,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Gentle Mates55c274.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9920344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked RED Canids40c264.75$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8584037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Gentle Mates39c259.38$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1614443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Gentle Mates8c250.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8925142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Gentle Mates10c236.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6636555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Gentle Mates53c227.64$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6196545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b1…092ebacked RED Canids61c208.97$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.951643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked RED Canids56c207.13$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2746042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x907c…85c8backed RED Canids39c202.16$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Gentle Mates58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed RED Canids53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9450947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa272…797abacked Gentle Mates24c198.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.724841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed RED Canids57c198.26$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2510753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Gentle Mates53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1818443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Gentle Mates44c179.01$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7712352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Gentle Mates27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.817650%38 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed RED Canids36c174.82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.891,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed RED Canids38c169.35$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10546749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked RED Canids60c168.4$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8813553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Gentle Mates46c168.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4138456.3%216 W · 168 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed RED Canids55c141.51$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6810655.7%59 W · 47 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked RED Canids74c138.14$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3438942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa652…b973backed RED Canids70c135$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed RED Canids44c130.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4817153.2%91 W · 80 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Gentle Mates34c126.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.444748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6630…9944backed Gentle Mates12c125.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Gentle Mates13c125$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.