TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x639f…6911

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT4323.3%10 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.03
Istanbul: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Laura Pigossibacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.98
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Wuxi: Maximus Jones vs Akira Santillanbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zizou Bergs vs Terence Atmanebacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Wuxi: Adam Walton vs James McCabebacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.82
Wuxi: Alafia Ayeni vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Alafia Ayeni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$43.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.14
Wuxi: Andre Ilagan vs Dane Sweenybacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.99
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Jiujiang: En-Shuo Liang vs Taylah Prestonbacked En-Shuo Liang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+214.5%+$49.25
Jiujiang: Xinxin Yao vs Haruka Kajibacked Haruka Kaji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.58
Wuning 2: Keegan Smith vs Li Tubacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Wuning 2: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Leo Vithoontienbacked Leo Vithoontien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Moerani Bouzigebacked Moerani Bouzige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.05
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$25.68
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.92
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Tallahassee: Liam Draxl vs Joao Lucas Da Silvabacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.14
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.53
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$10.14
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$7.89
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$49.72
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.41
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$80.28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$8.44
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$41.24
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+57.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-70.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.