TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wuxi: Alafia Ayeni vs Soon-Woo Kwon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Soon-Woo Kwonof Alafia Ayeni, Soon-Woo Kwon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,627
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,627 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb0da…f3f0backed Soon-Woo Kwon80c8,002$6,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.856131.1%19 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56d2…70a3backed Alafia Ayeni1c7,530$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.641030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alafia Ayeni12c6,735$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.558,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ece…e5cdbacked Alafia Ayeni5c6,096$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31940%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alafia Ayeni7c3,495$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.214,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alafia Ayeni20c3,357$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.1711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Alafia Ayeni13c3,063$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.8115530.3%47 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Alafia Ayeni19c2,144$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Alafia Ayeni2c1,637$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.162,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Alafia Ayeni22c1,258$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.222248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Alafia Ayeni14c1,075$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020412.7%26 W · 178 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Alafia Ayeni8c977.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6758639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e64…d958backed Alafia Ayeni12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963250%16 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Alafia Ayeni19c628.98$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1957447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Alafia Ayeni17c550.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9662140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Alafia Ayeni15c477.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9357321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Alafia Ayeni16c476$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7528835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…a7dbbacked Alafia Ayeni22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc25c…f6dfbacked Alafia Ayeni21c440$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.45145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e1…f9c6backed Alafia Ayeni21c423.81$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Alafia Ayeni12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ec…23bdbacked Soon-Woo Kwon79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8416769.5%116 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf01f…e8fbbacked Alafia Ayeni21c399.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8426426.9%71 W · 193 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Alafia Ayeni22c363.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Soon-Woo Kwon78c350.36$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.49,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Soon-Woo Kwon78c350$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.484,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Alafia Ayeni15c324.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.416529.1%48 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Alafia Ayeni7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115442.2%65 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Alafia Ayeni7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Alafia Ayeni15c284.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.791,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22f8…898ebacked Alafia Ayeni12c273.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1290%0 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Alafia Ayeni17c260.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Alafia Ayeni20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509727.8%27 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Alafia Ayeni16c224.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0451339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alafia Ayeni19c222.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.098,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Alafia Ayeni15c199.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Alafia Ayeni20c194.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.716642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe901…3139backed Alafia Ayeni7c188.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7623832.4%77 W · 161 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Alafia Ayeni21c161.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8414531.7%46 W · 99 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Alafia Ayeni19c157.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0860355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alafia Ayeni17c155.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.313,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x639f…6911backed Alafia Ayeni21c154.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.174323.3%10 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Alafia Ayeni9c149.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1573549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Alafia Ayeni11c142.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b1…ca10backed Alafia Ayeni13c131.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1715544.5%69 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Alafia Ayeni20c128.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2211753%62 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9bc…377ebacked Alafia Ayeni14c128.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1824918.5%46 W · 203 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Soon-Woo Kwon78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2113565.9%89 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Alafia Ayeni8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102228.6%19 W · 203 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe795…d019backed Alafia Ayeni17c125$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.548850%44 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Alafia Ayeni20c122.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5913557.8%78 W · 57 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Alafia Ayeni20c119.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3712053.3%64 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdfd…5277backed Alafia Ayeni20c113.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…cb59backed Alafia Ayeni19c113.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212119%4 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-68.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedc0…694ebacked Alafia Ayeni12c106.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac45…9fd3backed Alafia Ayeni12c105$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63956.4%22 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+196.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1db3…6c9fbacked Alafia Ayeni12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+119.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Alafia Ayeni25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259628.1%27 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Soon-Woo Kwon79c95.64$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0825763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc683…7483backed Alafia Ayeni18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-88.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa5ec…3630backed Alafia Ayeni20c82.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.213232.6%43 W · 89 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Soon-Woo Kwon80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Alafia Ayeni19c72.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4757052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b9…9ab5backed Alafia Ayeni17c70$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6221256.1%119 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Alafia Ayeni20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Soon-Woo Kwon78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.133655.1%185 W · 151 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Soon-Woo Kwon80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alafia Ayeni17c59.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.443,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed Soon-Woo Kwon79c58.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2319761.4%121 W · 76 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Alafia Ayeni22c56.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.616258.6%95 W · 67 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Soon-Woo Kwon79c40.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5270456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Soon-Woo Kwon77c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x504b…b939backed Soon-Woo Kwon80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.