TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x26b9…9ab5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
298
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT21256.1%119 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 212 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Francesca Jonesbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.88
The Memphis Classic: Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$81.6
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Samsun: Koki Matsuda vs Gabriel Debrubacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bonn: Daniel Galan vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$215.1
Samsun: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Paul Inchauspebacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.13
Targu Mures: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Carole Monnetbacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$80.45
San Marino: Pedro Martinez vs Hugo Dellienbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: James McCabe vs Alex Boltbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$305.99
Livesport Prague Open: Tereza Valentova vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Alex Molcanbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$192.4
Hamburg European Open: Paula Badosa vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Segovia: Yi Zhou vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$118.24
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue Yuanbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$43.55
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Elena Malyginabacked Elena Malygina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Varvara Lepchenko vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+205.1%+$41.02
Kitzbuehel: Julia Grabher vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Perez/Schuurs vs Maia/Samsonovabacked Perez/Schuurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$75.99
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 212 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT4850%24 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-18.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.63
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13.5)backed Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.73
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-3.5)backed George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-1.5)backed Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks (-2.5)backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Spread: Bellarmine Knights (-1.5)backed Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$16.43
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-3.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-14.5)backed Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.28
Spread: Central Arkansas Bears (-2.5)backed Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.86
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-4.5)backed Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$49.56
Spread: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders (-1.5)backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$47.62
Spread: Boston Terriers (-1.5)backed Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.96
Davidson Wildcats vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
William & Mary Tribe vs. Campbell Fighting Camels: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+83.6%+$41.46
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-3.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-3.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: Colgate Raiders (-2.5)backed Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+109.9%+$54.95
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-3.5)backed Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-15.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Drexel Dragons (-1.5)backed Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-49.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.63
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.92
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+99%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Joventut vs. Unicajabacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$40
Burgos vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
BC Dubai vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Mississippi State (-2.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.99
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5)backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$143.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.