NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f85be7982ced5fe67e3f63b34047e9fbdec0f0961594ed72e00d43115e94e6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 54c | 18,001$9,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,720.34 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 46c | 13,330$6,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,198.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…3b15backed Under | 53c | 5,736$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…35efbacked Under | 55c | 3,629$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 2,904$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.44 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.08 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…c8adbacked Over | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb050…7a3dbacked Over | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed9b…d42bbacked Over | 47c | 1,736$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 60c | 1,381$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.86 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 46c | 1,192$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.68 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Over | 57c | 999$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed Under | 43c | 999$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 799.99$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.99 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 557.69$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.93 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 55c | 546$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 511.43$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.29 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 45c | 454.55$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Over | 47c | 334.3$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.18 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 45c | 285.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.19 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 266.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.66 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 45c | 213.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 155$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Under | 39c | 142.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b9…9ab5backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 47c | 87.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Over | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 43.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 41.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 65c | 39.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 66c | 28.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 62c | 24.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. PanthersSabres won
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.