NHL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd076d14a3b9c6e940a78f282802ae3a34ec343728014d37a40533b447339c3c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Panthers, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 29c | 488.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Sabres | 72c | 333.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Panthers | 31c | 321.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sabres | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Sabres | 72c | 208.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…5afdbacked Sabres | 69c | 201.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Panthers | 30c | 173$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Sabres | 70c | 171.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Panthers | 32c | 144$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 30c | 134$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Panthers | 29c | 130.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Panthers | 29c | 122$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Sabres | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers | 30c | 96.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Panthers | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Sabres | 71c | 71.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Panthers | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Sabres | 69c | 62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabres | 57c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Panthers | 30c | 44.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 29c | 43.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…d7e9backed Sabres | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Sabres | 71c | 42.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Sabres | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Sabres | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Sabres | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Panthers | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Sabres | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Sabres | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Sabres | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Sabres | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Sabres | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Sabres | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Sabres | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Sabres | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Sabres | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sabres | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Sabres | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Sabres | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Sabres | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sabres | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Sabres | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Sabres vs. PanthersSabres won
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.