TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 161.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,261 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x226b…cad6backed Under53c8,119$4,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,307.8622645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over48c4,250$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.4861652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c3,578$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.3212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over50c2,974$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.3121636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under51c1,930$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.2657248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c1,147$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.411,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c1,016$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.93,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Over45c983.84$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.682433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c932.77$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.381,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over50c790.38$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.162,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6702…0fefbacked Over49c773.29$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.651947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over41c671.8$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.291,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9c…dbaebacked Over45c499.59$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.531844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over47c496.61$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.64,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over43c484.82$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.3514728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over44c420.79$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.421,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c383.99$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.515,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc740…522fbacked Under65c379.37$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.59955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c345.77$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.512,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under27c343.62$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.244546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under58c332.9$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.965545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over43c317.07$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.283435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over46c311.04$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.513,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under53c297.72$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7931448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Under53c251.73$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7314459%85 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x394c…158cbacked Under65c204.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under55c204.44$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4448855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under49c203.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5710650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Over45c202.67$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.478555.3%47 W · 38 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9837246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…d5a3backed Under51c195.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.82850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over43c189.13$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Over46c185.26$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.049341.9%39 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Under60c165.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1613561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2e3…2e82backed Under60c164.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.165154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under28c162.07$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1571655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over43c160.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.555840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Under35c140.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Under41c122.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.581637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under58c115.81$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0635338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed Over43c115.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.713250%16 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over45c115.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6432246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c105.38$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.245,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over44c103.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.912,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5714151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under51c97.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.564,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under53c93.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7160954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c90.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.833,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under41c88.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3835852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Under58c85.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.572119%4 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-59.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Over48c68.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.914231%13 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Under55c62.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.325446.3%25 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…ca45backed Over73c62.11$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Under39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7715…ada4backed Over49c59.92$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.584628.3%13 W · 33 L-10.2wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1c4a…4fb5backed Over46c53.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.997459.5%44 W · 30 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.514461.8%89 W · 55 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba8…11a2backed Over46c49.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.872955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed Over37c41.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13d…6b6ebacked Under60c40.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.342245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…44a2backed Over49c40.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.634845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Over54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.44452.3%23 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over45c39.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.482,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under56c30.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0124857.3%142 W · 106 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9584854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b5c…ab22backed Over40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b9…9ab5backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34850%24 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc3…82aabacked Under52c26.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over66c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.943737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x372a…b924backed Under52c25.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Under61c24.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.886841.2%28 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a38…7210backed Under52c22.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Under49c22.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.824240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe891…3be8backed Under52c20.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.