Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73c6bdfb199ec9e47ed2846418b87f760bbf832b91ad83936e996560f8221300
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, George Washington Revolutionaries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,027 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 1c | 3,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 1c | 3,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +900%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Saint Louis Billikens | 36c | 1,614$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.18 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 60c | 1,159$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.57 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Saint Louis Billikens | 52c | 1,020$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.81 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 948.3$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.86 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 48c | 754.15$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 65c | 700.52$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.22 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 53c | 503.7$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.7 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 452.62$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.73 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 430.52$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.45 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 393$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 381.26$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 47c | 304.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 239.73$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0e…3311backed Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 112.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 65c | 94.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…d03abacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 47c | 85.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 58c | 69.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 48c | 68.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 64.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 74c | 53.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 49.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Saint Louis Billikens | 36c | 34.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 30.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…4a4ebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 51c | 25.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 48c | 22.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 53c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 74c | 20.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 54c | 19.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Saint Louis Billikens | 76c | 15.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Saint Louis Billikens | 80c | 14.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-6.5)this page
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis BillikensSaint Louis Billikens won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 155.5Over won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 158.5Over won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 159.5Over won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 161.5Over won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-1.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-6.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-3.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-5.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)George Washington Revolutionaries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.