Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04b940b9d0573d849809b17f1f04a6499a07de78199cbc00acf3ee472b33f7e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- George Washington Revolutionariesof Saint Louis Billikens, George Washington Revolutionaries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,522 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 54c | 9,247$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.45 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 8,646$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 56c | 4,628$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.26 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 45c | 4,282$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.33 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 1,270$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.52 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 51c | 1,235$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.06 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 1,004$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.73 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 809.19$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 505.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 249.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 224.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…60a4backed Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 201.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 178.39$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.41 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 174.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 152.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 110.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 53c | 78.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 74.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 63.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Saint Louis Billikens | 44c | 58.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 55c | 50.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 55c | 32.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)this page
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis BillikensSaint Louis Billikens won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 155.5Over won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 158.5Over won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 159.5Over won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 161.5Over won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-1.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-6.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-3.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-5.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-6.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.