TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x960c…4a4e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT6643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$56.43
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2317.4%4 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-54.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Flamesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$50.22
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Utah vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$11.01
Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$46.34
Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Spread: San Diego State Aztecs (-2.5)backed New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.2
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-6.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.62
Spread: Utah Tech Trailblazers (-1.5)backed Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$10.32
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Pirates: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.39
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.4
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Air Force Falcons vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.02
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bears: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$212.04
Columbia Lions vs. Harvard Crimson: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$74.36
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Antalya 3: Carole Monnet vs Dominika Salkovabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Phoenix: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Arthur Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.94
Hersonissos 2: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$15.04
Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Sandro Koppbacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+55%+$12.84
Kigali 2: Andrej Martin vs Jay Clarkebacked Andrej Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+184.6%+$39.85
Antalya 3: Alina Charaeva vs Lia Karatanchevabacked Lia Karatancheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Antalya 3: Panna Udvardy vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$14.93
Antalya 3: Mai Hontama vs Julia Grabherbacked Mai Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.52
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensikbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$4.37
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Fenerbahcebacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.