TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Antalya 3: Mai Hontama vs Julia Grabher

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Julia Grabherof Mai Hontama, Julia Grabher
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,129 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Mai Hontama17c5,975$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.772,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Mai Hontama32c3,656$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.8830542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Julia Grabher73c1,910$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.5224557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Mai Hontama25c1,466$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.8229533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Julia Grabher70c1,457$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.862,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Mai Hontama29c1,180$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1981047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed Mai Hontama47c967$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.322623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Mai Hontama25c956.38$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.592,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mai Hontama10c941.78$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.832,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Julia Grabher57c874.94$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.9437854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b61…b7eabacked Julia Grabher66c776.62$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.621952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Julia Grabher71c690$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.548552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Mai Hontama30c669.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.795846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mai Hontama30c579.88$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.331,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Mai Hontama35c570.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Julia Grabher71c424.18$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.11,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Julia Grabher66c422.87$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7815354.2%83 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Julia Grabher78c385.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.327566.5%183 W · 92 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Julia Grabher70c378.07$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4278152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mai Hontama30c364.18$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.072,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Mai Hontama28c348.94$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.781,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Julia Grabher62c337.18$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.622,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Julia Grabher51c302.13$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.044,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Julia Grabher64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10813147.3%62 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Julia Grabher69c291.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.543154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Mai Hontama25c290.28$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.574,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Julia Grabher71c278$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.622962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Mai Hontama35c256.52$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8314541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa17e…cfcdbacked Julia Grabher72c237.54$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.544057.5%23 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Julia Grabher71c226.42$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.61,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05b4…9152backed Julia Grabher72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.336170.5%43 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa1…dc77backed Julia Grabher59c205$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0612856.3%72 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Julia Grabher67c201.91$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.442,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Julia Grabher73c200.43$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.98,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Mai Hontama35c199.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Mai Hontama37c193.65$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6512032.5%39 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mai Hontama35c193$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.061,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Julia Grabher71c177.46$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.461872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mai Hontama26c175.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.096,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Julia Grabher69c166.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6710649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Julia Grabher66c160.8$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.679743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0e…bb40backed Mai Hontama31c158.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Julia Grabher52c152.31$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1146932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Julia Grabher66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Mai Hontama32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Julia Grabher67c149.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.882,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…4eb0backed Julia Grabher67c149.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Julia Grabher70c140$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Mai Hontama32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Mai Hontama22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.443,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mai Hontama28c113.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.973,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Julia Grabher72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2877967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4868…c8d1backed Mai Hontama25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Julia Grabher72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2895742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999d…5b2ebacked Julia Grabher66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347550.7%38 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Julia Grabher69c96.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8969253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Mai Hontama21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012326.8%33 W · 90 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Mai Hontama26c94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.441,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Julia Grabher69c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.913847.8%66 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ea…baa4backed Julia Grabher66c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mai Hontama30c86.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.391,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x960c…4a4ebacked Mai Hontama38c85.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.521250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa41f…6100backed Mai Hontama33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411234.8%39 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mai Hontama21c77.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Julia Grabher68c75.75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.247,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mai Hontama27c70.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9757252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Julia Grabher71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4239872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Julia Grabher52c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.799347.3%44 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Julia Grabher52c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7979052.9%418 W · 372 L+24.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Mai Hontama19c55.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8743058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Julia Grabher57c53.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.849,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Julia Grabher60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Julia Grabher69c45.22$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.025054%27 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Julia Grabher63c43.78$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3353752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Julia Grabher70c42.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.841,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Julia Grabher71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2581933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Julia Grabher61c40.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1628…c90bbacked Mai Hontama25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julia Grabher62c35.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.657,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Mai Hontama37c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9573745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf7…0505backed Julia Grabher67c29.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.951764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Julia Grabher72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.783748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Julia Grabher71c25.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.357648.7%37 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Julia Grabher52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0347649.6%236 W · 240 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Julia Grabher71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.257644.7%34 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31e5…e2a2backed Julia Grabher64c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6419762.9%124 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x277c…e529backed Julia Grabher69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.745446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x304b…a619backed Julia Grabher65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Julia Grabher67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.613157.3%75 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Julia Grabher70c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.87,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Julia Grabher70c15.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Julia Grabher71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3558438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Julia Grabher69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6525546.7%119 W · 136 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.