TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4066…e3c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 61 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT9031.1%28 W · 62 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.09
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35.64
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.46
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
LeBron James: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$52.5
Royce O'Neale: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Naz Reid: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dejounte Murray: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Darius Garland: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$97.89
Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$55.21
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$73.33
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.89
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$23.47
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Pedro Martinezbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$28.22
Copa Colsanitas: Francesca Jones vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.73
Credit One Charleston Open: Elvina Kalieva vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.91
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs J.J. Wolfbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.34
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$27.4
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Miami Open: Iva Jovic vs Talia Gibsonbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Miami Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Miami Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Miami Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Colton Smithbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.14
Antalya 3: Mai Hontama vs Julia Grabherbacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$51.46
BNP Paribas Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$222.08
BNP Paribas Open: Diane Parry vs Venus Williamsbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$21.08
BNP Paribas Open: Donna Vekic vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.31
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.43
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.74
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 133.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.69
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-4.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.77
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.11
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.17
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogsbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.84
Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$30.28
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+87.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Melissa Croden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$28.04
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Ethyn Ewing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.07
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.27
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.15
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.14
NRFI: New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)backed Lille OSC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.