Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 156.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbdc26a04e0453ef5a6530f1436bf3b27f6e8f1319169175e5c27a82496a0a49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,887 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 15,863$8,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 45c | 12,975$5,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,142.33 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 45c | 6,757$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 5,026$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.96 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 55c | 4,426$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.48 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Under | 52c | 3,572$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.19 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 2,577$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.63 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 53c | 2,073$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.42 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 1,099$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.41 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 960.53$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.69 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 55c | 698.89$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.42 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 46c | 650.94$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.04 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 55c | 554.18$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.8 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 423$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.65 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 54c | 396.52$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.12 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 55c | 252.34$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 207.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 55c | 200.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 55c | 180.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 158.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 54c | 123$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 95.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 55c | 95.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 55c | 76.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 48c | 72.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 55c | 32.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Over | 38c | 31.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 55c | 31.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…e3c3backed Under | 55c | 27.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 66c | 24.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 55c | 22.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…c830backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -6.6wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 156.5this page
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley WolverinesGeorge Washington Revolutionaries won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 153.5Over won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 154.5Over won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-5.5)Utah Valley Wolverines won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-8.5)Utah Valley Wolverines won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-1.5)George Washington Revolutionaries won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-2.5)George Washington Revolutionaries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.