Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99ef577551d2361888031c87601d9a68a3ae3d61aa0e36b0fa1dc942e73589bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- George Washington Revolutionariesof Utah Valley Wolverines, George Washington Revolutionaries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,372 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 4,079$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.75 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 2,982$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.84 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 2,122$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.35 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 1,983$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.25 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 1,970$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.95 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 51c | 1,528$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.82 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 1,497$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 51c | 1,493$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.43 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 1,264$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 1,116$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.94 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 994.07$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.45 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 953.65$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 49c | 789$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.61 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 612.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.3 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 53c | 610.25$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.43 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 584.3$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 462.27$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.76 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…0787backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 358.35$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.57 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 51c | 349.88$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.44 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 347.52$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.76 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 53c | 251.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.34 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 49c | 228.2$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 203.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 194.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 194.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 194.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 51c | 190.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 51c | 136.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 135.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 99.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 49c | 88.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 74.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 74.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 73.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 49c | 65.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 61.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 52.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 48.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 49c | 44.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 49c | 39.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 51c | 33.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 31.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 48c | 30.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…0022backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 53c | 27.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 27.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…f839backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 52c | 27.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 50c | 23.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 46c | 22.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 20.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…23a9backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-1.5)this page
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley WolverinesGeorge Washington Revolutionaries won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 153.5Over won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 154.5Over won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 156.5Over won
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-5.5)Utah Valley Wolverines won
- Spread: George Washington Revolutionaries (-8.5)Utah Valley Wolverines won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-2.5)George Washington Revolutionaries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.