NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63acbbd5c21d35e284a67d09144cfd8b1a6ce2edfd123917f9f07184d32bc000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 46c | 4,311$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.52 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd225…9f88backed Under | 50c | 2,995$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…6e8ebacked Under | 50c | 2,971$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec4…294ebacked Under | 50c | 2,959$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…dad4backed Under | 50c | 2,945$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…fc5abacked Over | 50c | 2,909$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3292…1c0fbacked Over | 50c | 2,903$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…24e0backed Under | 50c | 2,865$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb8…ab08backed Over | 50c | 2,849$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…df9ebacked Under | 50c | 2,773$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…03febacked Over | 50c | 2,739$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…4f37backed Under | 50c | 2,719$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…cdf0backed Over | 50c | 2,717$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0d…ffb4backed Under | 50c | 2,703$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539c…bfe3backed Over | 50c | 2,699$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0870…f94bbacked Under | 50c | 2,667$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1663…e282backed Under | 50c | 2,659$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…3a8cbacked Under | 50c | 2,649$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85c…cc89backed Over | 50c | 2,631$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…d871backed Over | 50c | 2,621$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc15…70a1backed Under | 50c | 2,591$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7844…a43bbacked Under | 50c | 2,575$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…9c18backed Over | 50c | 2,509$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…b8d3backed Over | 50c | 2,439$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…32f5backed Under | 50c | 2,359$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a0dbbacked Under | 50c | 2,351$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…7e76backed Over | 50c | 2,347$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…42fabacked Over | 50c | 2,337$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 50c | 2,333$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.5 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7724…bd5bbacked Over | 50c | 2,265$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…3fa8backed Under | 50c | 2,265$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df9…bdafbacked Over | 50c | 2,263$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…1dcdbacked Under | 50c | 2,257$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…923bbacked Over | 50c | 2,235$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002a…b598backed Under | 50c | 2,211$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…3ad7backed Under | 50c | 2,175$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f75…69e4backed Over | 50c | 2,121$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…8946backed Over | 50c | 2,117$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…0363backed Under | 50c | 2,105$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14bd…060ebacked Over | 50c | 2,085$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…9110backed Over | 50c | 2,069$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee9…5daebacked Over | 50c | 2,065$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…3d89backed Over | 50c | 2,055$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711f…fdd4backed Under | 50c | 2,051$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 2,038$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.02 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…6a8bbacked Over | 50c | 2,035$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…84a7backed Under | 50c | 2,009$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…634abacked Over | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08da…f967backed Under | 50c | 1,982$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…cf2fbacked Under | 50c | 1,922$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d5…56a3backed Over | 50c | 1,899$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…fabcbacked Over | 50c | 1,878$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…e6f7backed Over | 50c | 1,856$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…2ffbbacked Under | 50c | 1,830$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ede…8b89backed Over | 50c | 1,818$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…2c38backed Under | 50c | 1,814$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…f73fbacked Over | 50c | 1,810$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…518cbacked Over | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…d148backed Under | 50c | 1,796$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84f…7aacbacked Over | 50c | 1,795$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…2475backed Over | 50c | 1,784$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…fb27backed Under | 50c | 1,780$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…d75cbacked Under | 50c | 1,766$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…698ebacked Over | 50c | 1,744$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…0cccbacked Over | 50c | 1,744$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed16…18d2backed Under | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175c…b881backed Over | 50c | 1,652$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…a183backed Under | 50c | 1,620$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeca…5fecbacked Over | 50c | 1,616$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…9d07backed Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…5bd6backed Under | 50c | 1,554$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…bb0cbacked Over | 50c | 1,548$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…8f05backed Over | 50c | 1,542$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 58c | 1,502$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.87 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7316…c5d7backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…e07cbacked Under | 50c | 1,492$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26d…f9a8backed Under | 50c | 1,490$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…255abacked Over | 50c | 1,459$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…fd18backed Over | 50c | 1,452$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…9a25backed Under | 50c | 1,409$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…9148backed Under | 50c | 1,402$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98aa…c018backed Under | 50c | 1,326$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…1d93backed Over | 50c | 1,314$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…362bbacked Over | 50c | 1,311$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910b…c68ebacked Over | 50c | 1,288$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…8e0abacked Under | 50c | 1,262$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…ce74backed Under | 50c | 1,240$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…3ee7backed Under | 50c | 1,194$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb658…7a18backed Over | 50c | 1,192$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…2f7ebacked Under | 50c | 1,174$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…da0bbacked Under | 50c | 1,162$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…a2efbacked Under | 50c | 1,146$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd880…89c2backed Over | 50c | 1,130$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8b…8a65backed Under | 50c | 1,104$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…dbb8backed Under | 50c | 1,067$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…1976backed Over | 50c | 1,044$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…42bcbacked Under | 50c | 1,033$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73db…cd52backed Over | 50c | 1,012$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 71c | 858.72$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.24 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6171…5a1abacked Over | 50c | 836$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Wizards vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.