NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8dc9b753ebaaa683aa6bf2813615ac435901e086096e7b4c120777336187a19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Warriors, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed Wizards | 53c | 20,276$10,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,529.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 47c | 9,074$4,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,222.14 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Wizards | 54c | 4,006$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.55 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Wizards | 42c | 3,297$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.41 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 36c | 3,092$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.57 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Wizards | 53c | 2,935$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.24 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 52c | 2,360$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…c0abbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,899$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 41c | 1,806$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Warriors | 47c | 1,574$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 45c | 1,260$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 56c | 1,002$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Wizards | 59c | 863$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.83 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Wizards | 59c | 856.64$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.64 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Warriors | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Warriors | 45c | 847.26$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.66 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Warriors | 47c | 795$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.65 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 54c | 723.48$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.69 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Warriors | 47c | 666$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 50c | 646.23$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.09 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Warriors | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca4…51cebacked Wizards | 54c | 616.67$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Warriors | 49c | 609.62$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Warriors | 47c | 600$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Wizards | 56c | 562.52$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.24 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Warriors | 47c | 562$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.14 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 51c | 550.69$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.82 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Warriors | 51c | 550.3$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.41 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 46c | 541.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.12 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Warriors | 46c | 500.46$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.21 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 52c | 498.24$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.16 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Warriors | 51c | 482.17$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Warriors | 51c | 480.78$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Warriors | 42c | 474.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Wizards | 46c | 470.13$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.79 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Warriors | 65c | 463.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Warriors | 47c | 460$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 53c | 448.09$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.76 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 46c | 431$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Wizards | 58c | 399.95$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 47c | 382.84$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.51 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Warriors | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Wizards | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 387 | 40.3%156 W · 231 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Warriors | 55c | 297.68$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.92 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Warriors | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Warriors | 47c | 235$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Wizards | 55c | 229.1$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Warriors | 46c | 223.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Warriors | 47c | 218$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Warriors | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Warriors | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Warriors | 47c | 212.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Wizards | 39c | 211.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Warriors | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Warriors | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Warriors | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x053e…1e27backed Wizards | 50c | 199.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Warriors | 47c | 198$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Warriors | 46c | 188.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Warriors | 53c | 188.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…4f84backed Wizards | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Wizards | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…b3c4backed Warriors | 55c | 182.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Warriors | 47c | 177$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 56c | 174.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Warriors | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…db4bbacked Wizards | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Warriors | 44c | 163$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Warriors | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Warriors | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Warriors | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Warriors | 54c | 149.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Warriors | 43c | 139.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -11.3wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Warriors | 46c | 132$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Wizards | 54c | 130.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 57c | 129.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Warriors | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 45c | 125.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Warriors | 47c | 122.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Wizards | 38c | 120.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.59 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Warriors | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Warriors | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Wizards | 53c | 107$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…2b8fbacked Warriors | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 14c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Warriors | 47c | 103.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Warriors | 47c | 101.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Warriors | 40c | 100.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Warriors | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 164 | 31.7%52 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Wizards | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 400 | 53.5%214 W · 186 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Warriors | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Warriors | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398c…33fabacked Wizards | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Warriors | 53c | 98.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 51c | 91.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Warriors | 47c | 87.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Warriors | 46c | 86.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Wizards | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Wizards vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.