NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21413abae07572969446b917192bd93ee2f477514a4c32cee28ca41ae401a172
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Warriors, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $693,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $699,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $693,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 49c | 544,883$269,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269,360.25 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Wizards | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,000 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 51c | 158,000$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 50c | 108,590$54,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,200.63 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Wizards | 51c | 79,744$40,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,324.83 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 50c | 63,629$31,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,020.34 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 49c | 32,245$15,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,799.83 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 50c | 15,684$7,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,841.58 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards | 49c | 15,164$7,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,686.14 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 47c | 13,905$6,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,584.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Warriors | 52c | 12,942$6,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,729.84 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 48c | 5,625$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 50c | 5,378$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.06 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Wizards | 52c | 4,841$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.46 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Warriors | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.78 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Wizards | 51c | 3,946$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.54 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Wizards | 52c | 3,365$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.38 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 50c | 3,039$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.89 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 49c | 2,973$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.24 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wizards | 50c | 2,766$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.53 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Wizards | 51c | 2,671$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.75 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Warriors | 52c | 2,641$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.3 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Warriors | 50c | 2,266$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.72 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Warriors | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 48c | 2,229$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.37 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Warriors | 49c | 2,183$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.25 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Wizards | 53c | 2,181$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.47 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Warriors | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Wizards | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Wizards | 52c | 1,684$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.47 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…495cbacked Warriors | 48c | 1,655$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.02 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Warriors | 47c | 1,442$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.85 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 47c | 1,394$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Warriors | 49c | 1,338$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.32 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Wizards | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Warriors | 48c | 1,115$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.43 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Wizards | 47c | 1,076$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.43 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Wizards | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Wizards | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Wizards | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 49c | 988.72$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Warriors | 49c | 942.86$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Wizards | 52c | 796.15$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.15 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Wizards | 52c | 770.84$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.48 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 48c | 756.47$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Wizards | 51c | 699.97$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.98 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Warriors | 73c | 681.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 49c | 681.25$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Wizards | 52c | 646.26$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.81 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Wizards | 61c | 626.6$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.54 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Warriors | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Wizards | 53c | 570.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.73 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Wizards | 51c | 562.84$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.53 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Warriors | 49c | 528.55$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.76 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Warriors | 49c | 528.18$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.76 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Warriors | 49c | 522.88$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.22 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 47c | 461.39$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.17 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 48c | 449.57$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.18 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Wizards | 50c | 448.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.15 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Wizards | 53c | 412.61$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.61 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Wizards | 51c | 387$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.98 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Wizards | 53c | 378.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.33 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Wizards | 52c | 366.53$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.15 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Wizards | 52c | 353.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Warriors | 49c | 330$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Wizards | 20c | 310.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.12 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Warriors | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Wizards | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Warriors | 51c | 256.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Warriors | 49c | 248.76$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Warriors | 49c | 245.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…564dbacked Wizards | 52c | 240.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Wizards | 49c | 232.58$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Warriors | 49c | 222.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Warriors | 49c | 222.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Warriors | 49c | 222.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Warriors | 48c | 211.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.41 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…aa33backed Warriors | 49c | 205.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Wizards | 33c | 200$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 387 | 40.3%156 W · 231 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Wizards | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Wizards | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Wizards | 52c | 196.92$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Wizards | 52c | 192.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…4237backed Wizards | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…3e27backed Wizards | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Warriors | 49c | 188.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Warriors | 49c | 185.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Wizards | 50c | 171.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Wizards | 51c | 169.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Warriors | 49c | 154$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…0469backed Wizards | 52c | 153.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Warriors | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Wizards | 55c | 148.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Warriors | 50c | 143.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Wizards | 52c | 143.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 49c | 135.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Warriors | 47c | 130.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Warriors | 30c | 125.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Wizards vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.