NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d700f12565a75858ded25315c841af5224201dbc05651b03ed9a758285a2035
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 55c | 14,171$7,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,748.95 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 5,345$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.12 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 48c | 3,004$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.99 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 2,106$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.01 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 1,997$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.65 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 77c | 1,809$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.52 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 56c | 1,445$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.89 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 1,117$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.14 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 21c | 1,001$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 954.68$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.51 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 849.84$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.92 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 52c | 831.51$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.39 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Under | 15c | 674.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 48c | 619.18$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.75 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 44c | 618.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.59 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 52c | 364.77$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.68 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 45c | 327.61$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.19 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 44c | 319.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.24 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 55c | 299.7$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Over | 78c | 286$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 54c | 283.44$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.59 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 22c | 281.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 45c | 267$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.85 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 250.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 52c | 247.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 11c | 222.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 21c | 195.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 188.02$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 179.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 156$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 58c | 150.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 145.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 144.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 45c | 124.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 45c | 112.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 58c | 107.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 36c | 104.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 97.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 43c | 97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 56c | 88.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 45c | 81.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 76.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 42c | 57.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Under | 72c | 41.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…3e81backed Over | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Under | 52c | 38.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 35c | 38.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | -18.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 54c | 35.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…8aa3backed Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Over | 68c | 31.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 45c | 30.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 29.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c3…0701backed Over | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 43c | 24.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 67c | 23.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Under | 60c | 20.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Wizards vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.