NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e5e56dca662b70b246cc84acd7cc6a24770716b44097027c82317e9b8c498c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 50c | 10,040$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,020 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 7,737$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,859.4 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 49c | 2,398$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.03 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…4569backed Under | 50c | 2,237$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Under | 50c | 2,004$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…6302backed Under | 51c | 1,884$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Under | 50c | 1,518$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.99 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,252$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 51c | 1,217$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.81 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 1,081$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.34 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 50c | 1,066$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 50c | 1,048$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…040dbacked Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 11c | 611.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 600.31$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.16 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 51c | 589.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.98 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 562.91$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 468.54$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.96 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 361.27$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.34 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Over | 50c | 300.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 246$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 244.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…75dfbacked Over | 60c | 221.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 211.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 11c | 185.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 22c | 182$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 51c | 175.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 51c | 169.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 27c | 166.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 159$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 49c | 150.14$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 49c | 137.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Over | 17c | 133$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Over | 17c | 133$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 49c | 126.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 49c | 123.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 18c | 101$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…c05ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…284fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 98.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 93.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Over | 51c | 87.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 85.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 85.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 82.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 69c | 80.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1df9backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 13c | 80$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Over | 13c | 80$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b58bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 49c | 72.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 55c | 72.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 58c | 67.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 49c | 45.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 44.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 49c | 43.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 49c | 39.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 39.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 51c | 36.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…247dbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…dd5abacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…62fbbacked Under | 41c | 27.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Over | 56c | 26.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ab…47f0backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 24.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 52c | 21.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…8a76backed Over | 51c | 20.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 77c | 15.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 77c | 15.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Warriors (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Wizards vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.