NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x044e7fa838e7786065d00fb9cb9615a86a800ca647df2e1f9cb69d86e7b46784
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Warriors, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 46c | 137,103$63,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,067.44 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 53c | 65,457$35,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,447.09 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards | 54c | 52,873$28,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,328.25 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 54c | 26,011$14,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,965.37 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Wizards | 54c | 13,112$7,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,031.65 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Wizards | 49c | 12,727$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,441.02 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Wizards | 53c | 12,000$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.85 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 51c | 7,983$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.33 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Warriors | 48c | 6,667$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Warriors | 48c | 6,178$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.44 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…99a3backed Wizards | 48c | 3,847$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fd…0b3abacked Warriors | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Warriors | 48c | 3,800$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 54c | 3,101$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 52c | 3,086$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.66 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730f…bf8dbacked Wizards | 49c | 3,014$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Warriors | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…4502backed Warriors | 51c | 2,931$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Wizards | 53c | 2,911$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.09 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…a081backed Warriors | 51c | 2,898$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…c91fbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,860$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 47c | 2,719$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…b960backed Wizards | 49c | 2,628$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 47c | 2,538$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd3…29a8backed Warriors | 51c | 2,361$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 49c | 2,355$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Wizards | 53c | 2,181$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.91 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Warriors | 48c | 2,159$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.12 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wizards | 52c | 1,939$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.16 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Warriors | 47c | 1,675$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.25 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…38c6backed Wizards | 49c | 1,673$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…3c49backed Warriors | 51c | 1,550$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…df86backed Wizards | 49c | 1,365$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199c…7f8cbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,315$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 47c | 1,285$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c44…0cf4backed Warriors | 51c | 1,276$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Wizards | 53c | 1,223$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.6 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Warriors | 47c | 1,221$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.07 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Warriors | 46c | 1,137$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Wizards | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Warriors | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.9 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Wizards | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Warriors | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 48c | 971.5$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.41 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Warriors | 48c | 947.5$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Wizards | 52c | 930.62$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.69 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Wizards | 58c | 917.71$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.22 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Warriors | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 47c | 821$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Warriors | 50c | 808$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…d2a4backed Wizards | 50c | 791$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wizards | 49c | 753.52$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.29 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Wizards | 49c | 715$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.65 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Warriors | 51c | 713.94$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.11 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Warriors | 48c | 677.88$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Warriors | 48c | 582.13$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.75 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wizards | 52c | 575.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.55 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Wizards | 53c | 544.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…9b65backed Wizards | 56c | 536.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Wizards | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Warriors | 46c | 534.34$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 56c | 525.45$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.65 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Warriors | 51c | 487.87$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.24 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Warriors | 52c | 444.23$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Warriors | 48c | 426.53$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.83 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 47c | 414.07$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Wizards | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Warriors | 47c | 328.82$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Wizards | 54c | 327.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.51 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Wizards | 54c | 285.68$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards | 51c | 250.24$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Warriors | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Wizards | 49c | 228.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Wizards | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Warriors | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Warriors | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Wizards | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…8b1fbacked Wizards | 52c | 172.08$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Wizards | 48c | 159.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Wizards | 54c | 156$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Warriors | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…2bb6backed Wizards | 47c | 150.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.43 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Warriors | 27c | 148.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Warriors | 47c | 135.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Wizards | 53c | 131.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd167…249cbacked Warriors | 16c | 122.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Warriors | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Wizards | 54c | 111.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Wizards | 50c | 111.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Warriors | 46c | 107.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Wizards | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Wizards | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Warriors | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Wizards | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Warriors | 53c | 95.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Warriors | 52c | 89.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Wizards | 53c | 83.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Warriors | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 51c | 73.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Warriors (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Warriors (-14.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Wizards vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.