TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb03c…b352

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT5341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$182.55
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.37
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.21
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.36
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$482
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$420.86
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.87
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.86
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$187.21
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.04
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.32
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$118
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$83.92
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.52
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$318.75
Spread: Warriors (-13.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$257.14
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT4168.3%28 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$427.93
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$73.49
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$101.72
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,348Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$634.5
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.17
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+202%+$29.08
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.95
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.22
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$172.28
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$101.43
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.59
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$128.41
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$184.23
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$149.88
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$176.47
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$533.19
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$253.21
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT3935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+221%+$360.26
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinosbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$170
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twinsbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.16
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.86
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.86
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$131.07
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.43
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.84
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.54
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+209.8%+$607.23
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.64
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.27
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.92
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.86
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$499.91
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$253
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$418
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$218.11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.75
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+192.5%+$523.56
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$123.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+224.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Sangwook Kim vs. Dom Mar Fan (Lightweight, Early Prelims)backed Kim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 26 above $425?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$61.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.