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NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Kings, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,363,973
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,370,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,363,973 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,099 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Nets54c300,000$162,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138,000.0654539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings47c83,239$39,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,062.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Nets52c61,200$31,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,610.5832540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f1…c5f8backed Kings46c41,625$19,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,147.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Nets51c37,624$19,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,416.0972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Nets49c33,901$16,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,289.7219957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings46c31,105$14,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,3042,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Kings46c30,000$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,80010930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings47c29,043$13,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,781.494,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings40c28,583$11,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,352.533,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Kings48c20,833$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets52c20,761$10,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,965.282,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Nets70c20,200$14,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,979.642348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Nets51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80039349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Nets40c19,384$7,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,586.8435547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings49c17,992$8,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,759.524,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Kings46c17,500$8,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,05015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Kings46c17,390$7,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.429245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5845…7903backed Kings50c16,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0002015%3 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Kings46c15,990$7,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,416.472161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Nets53c15,896$8,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,471.1248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Nets51c15,367$7,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,529.9337448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Kings60c15,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0006144.3%27 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Kings46c15,000$6,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8709159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings7c15,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings46c14,627$6,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,721.461,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kings22c14,009$3,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,064.2683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nets54c12,854$6,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,913.061,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecf4…c01cbacked Kings51c12,374$6,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,310.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5416…3300backed Nets49c12,100$5,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1712100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kings5c11,169$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.8149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Kings46c11,100$5,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,111.869440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ce…079fbacked Nets50c10,600$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets71c10,570$7,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.974,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kings25c9,700$2,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.4536023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Nets54c9,000$4,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,14021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings6c8,991$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.4964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Nets54c8,501$4,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,910.4518045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kings48c8,355$4,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,039.1265939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings47c8,218$3,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,831.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x893b…a860backed Kings6c8,202$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-64.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c8,113$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.958820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Kings49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,92019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4661…f070backed Kings47c7,798$3,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,66520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Kings49c7,680$3,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,758.845143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Kings50c7,100$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.014445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings48c6,998$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,333.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kings42c6,769$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.4920744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings48c6,600$3,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.9686641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Kings49c6,478$3,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,154.2541553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Kings48c6,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Kings49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Kings45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.921,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Nets54c5,800$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,66827241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Nets50c5,758$2,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.9611843.2%51 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Kings46c5,622$2,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.1237747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfcd…b6e0backed Nets52c5,500$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets50c5,454$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.432,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings19c5,443$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Nets49c5,198$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.9362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Kings0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Nets53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Nets51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Nets48c4,996$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.9647043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets51c4,856$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.011,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Nets53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.9820843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3b…447bbacked Kings48c4,610$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.81421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-56.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Kings59c4,578$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,695.449746.4%45 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Nets51c4,577$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.796440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Kings46c4,331$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.318154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kings11c4,318$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.331,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Kings46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84013148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Nets53c3,995$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.6587750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Kings51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Kings48c3,915$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.7511543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Kings46c3,850$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7712045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fe…bfd3backed Kings50c3,800$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ae…4385backed Kings46c3,724$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,713.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71fa…2a1cbacked Nets50c3,700$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1692…9378backed Kings46c3,645$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.7955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets61c3,635$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.892,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c5…117fbacked Kings47c3,574$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Kings50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7504940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb6…8b23backed Nets50c3,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7501060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Kings51c3,455$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.6315140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe780…a021backed Kings50c3,200$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings44c3,105$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.642,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Nets51c3,067$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.8510748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc4…cd66backed Kings50c3,010$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Nets50c3,010$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.2429250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Kings50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Kings5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503511.4%4 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb5…ea73backed Nets52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings45c2,938$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a1f…8ac0backed Kings7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002475%18 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ec9…0b99backed Nets50c2,800$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Nets48c2,464$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.7260549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked Kings5c2,462$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.543912.8%5 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Nets65c2,410$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.2922159.7%132 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Kings46c2,405$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.415146.4%70 W · 81 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.