TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Kings (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Kings, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Nets52c38,124$19,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,207.071,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Nets51c26,411$13,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,930.151,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Nets52c17,457$9,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,366.69655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings49c14,000$6,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,859.971,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Kings49c12,584$6,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,16616249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Kings49c11,051$5,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,414.7848546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings45c9,047$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Kings44c8,223$3,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,618.13941%16 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Kings49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets54c7,534$4,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450.396,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Kings49c6,912$3,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,386.6821943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Nets56c6,568$3,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.1154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Kings48c5,702$2,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.965547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nets55c5,600$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5201,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Kings49c5,499$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.539952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04de…e928backed Nets55c4,444$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings44c4,304$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.573,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings24c4,304$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.562,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings47c4,197$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.314,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Kings45c4,068$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.455754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets64c3,901$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.772,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Kings49c3,878$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nets56c3,750$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.071,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Nets53c3,209$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.6815850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Nets55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Nets51c1,960$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.417050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings5c1,549$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Kings47c1,501$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.6131046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Kings49c990.82$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.52948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Kings49c965.31$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47319745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Kings49c959.18$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Nets51c923.03$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.2865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Kings2c918.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Nets56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8621957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nets51c873$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.772,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Nets58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets55c853.02$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Nets56c730.58$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.5810835.2%38 W · 70 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Nets53c665.58$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.589655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Kings48c620.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.687951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nets51c571$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.792,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Kings19c513.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings46c510.63$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.814,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nets55c490.91$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.912,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Nets57c480.89$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7823550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings3c390$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.481,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Nets54c366.93$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.091,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Nets57c361$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2147436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Nets53c358.68$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Nets54c343.95$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.091,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Kings45c302.37$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5681349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Nets52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14421653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Nets54c277.02$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.511,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings47c274.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.352,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Nets57c271.63$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6362546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Nets53c270.11$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9510748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Kings48c199.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9814046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Nets51c184.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Nets52c179.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3921347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Nets56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Nets73c150$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8661957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kings27c145.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.421,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Kings49c139.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.216651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Nets55c135.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.311,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Kings46c128.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8249249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Kings49c123.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Nets55c115.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0740053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d56…a287backed Kings44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Kings44c106.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4717342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c7…bb75backed Kings34c103.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.443345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked Kings23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.756443.8%28 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Kings42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Nets51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496648.5%32 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Nets55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Kings49c98.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4840541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Kings24c95.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.771,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked Nets53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3414555.2%80 W · 65 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Kings44c94.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.313246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Nets57c91.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.539154.9%50 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Kings43c84.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.323840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Kings41c81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2177549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Kings20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8322336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nets53c74.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.821,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kings39c68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.361,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Kings48c67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.161,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Kings48c62.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.211,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d1…eb7fbacked Kings39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.24235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8381…ef93backed Kings46c57.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c88…455dbacked Nets53c56.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Kings50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbef6…48a3backed Kings49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.45547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f1…5b0fbacked Kings42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x720f…592cbacked Nets52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245658.9%33 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Nets51c48.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Nets52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0811851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.043,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe97f…9337backed Nets53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1718453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Nets56c46.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.391,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Nets53c45.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6611659.5%69 W · 47 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Kings44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.