TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Nets: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,318
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,318 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb6e…48e6backed Under51c74,521$38,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,388.192661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under52c13,710$7,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,580.843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over49c12,800$6,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,27248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8009159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Over49c9,553$4,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6814438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Over47c5,607$2,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6531353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c5,232$2,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,511.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under53c3,366$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.362,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over43c2,526$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.793,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98087049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over45c1,966$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.782,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over49c1,565$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.9911543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56421247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over49c1,055$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c1,036$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.821,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb091…040dbacked Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c791.24$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.871,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Over51c742.25$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3796126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c727$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under54c640.55$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.031,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over48c512.95$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2408951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c483.42$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.172,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over53c478.49$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under75c437.05$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1889346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004540%18 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under60c370.34$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1619246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over31c338.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.562,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce49…af42backed Over49c321.46$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d5…2bb6backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1476250%31 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13014156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c256.95$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.31,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c2…a042backed Over49c243.49$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over47c239$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.642,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under63c229$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.931,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under52c211.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5411157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Over47c202.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0121259.9%127 W · 85 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9438242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.198763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb402…42cebacked Over49c153.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.034639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over49c152.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Under63c149.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.53948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over49c141.54$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3522048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9f7…a7b0backed Over23c123.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under55c121.37$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0231345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over48c116.4$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8762541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5534247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over48c106$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2368645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over48c104.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0627646.7%129 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over50c103.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9110042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over48c103.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.681,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5338464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c92.72$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.143,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c92$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over13c88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over48c87.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4238853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4093145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over49c79.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3944747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd37…56cbbacked Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c62.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.463,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under55c56.15$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.493,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under57c52.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.332,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f1…5b0fbacked Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.54067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…3fb1backed Over46c44.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.449347.3%44 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over37c40.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8787744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb3…803abacked Under54c37.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.035062%31 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under54c33.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3237652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611845.8%54 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over42c29.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4532654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under53c28.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.541,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5957…6437backed Under54c26.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.195156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Over47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e68…75bbbacked Over53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.255569.1%38 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…8a76backed Over49c23.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.715757.9%33 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c5…787cbacked Over48c22.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under76c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.033,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f0…7d99backed Over49c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Under61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.810651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1d…5c72backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.817142.7%73 W · 98 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f5…a2e2backed Under52c19.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.