TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c1d…5c72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT17142.7%73 W · 98 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 171 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Kings vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$50.93
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$91.71
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$62.7
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.93
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+140%+$175
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$67.72
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$75.19
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Showing 25 of 171 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT4551.1%23 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.54
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$123
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$63.57
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.38
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$69
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$79.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$124
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+27.4%+$4.3
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+32.4%+$17.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+57.3%+$149.36
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$45
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$50
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$225
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$547
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+43.5%+$60.67
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$96
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$24
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$128.7
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25.8%+$41.03
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+43.1%+$45.2
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$15
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+102.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$25.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.