TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,666,223
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,782,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,666,223 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,087 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Pacers23c234,424$53,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,447.6548343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pacers27c108,721$29,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,270.091,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Clippers63c98,837$61,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,009.3320744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Clippers66c98,333$64,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,454.78750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Clippers30c74,231$22,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,012.1442348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Clippers65c61,004$39,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,322.2934456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Pacers0c55,917$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.935516.4%9 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers0c55,000$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13764517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Clippers78c54,989$43,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,945.711543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers43c48,412$20,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,604.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed Clippers64c46,220$29,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,563.385250%26 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Clippers78c40,000$31,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8005064%32 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers22c38,592$8,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,490.2747848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clippers63c38,238$24,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,030.33,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb743…c116backed Pacers1c36,265$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.582245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pacers22c31,788$6,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,881.332540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers54c31,284$17,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,029.055,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Clippers45c30,416$13,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,604.7516346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Pacers22c27,843$6,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,125.516841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pacers51c26,663$13,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,594.8570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pacers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Clippers45c24,636$11,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,572.1489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Clippers47c22,257$10,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,718.1224937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked Clippers78c22,191$17,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,882.082665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c15…ce17backed Pacers42c20,792$8,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,816.28425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Clippers48c20,673$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,672.58452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Clippers65c20,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.9922457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4870…85f7backed Clippers77c19,900$15,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,537.964445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers48c18,962$9,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,059.31,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Pacers67c18,643$12,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,418.884573.3%33 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Clippers65c17,847$11,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,201.6312251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Clippers42c17,424$7,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,093.465633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Clippers59c16,389$9,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,763.8393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ce…079fbacked Pacers23c16,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6801526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers59c15,779$9,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,302.063,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Clippers43c14,267$6,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,164.336023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ab…506dbacked Pacers22c14,200$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.964551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers46c13,850$6,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,516.872,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Pacers3c13,696$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.014067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Clippers49c13,307$6,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,784.818225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Clippers70c12,950$9,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,908.4976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers77c12,857$9,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,913.274,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Pacers22c12,091$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700.1541832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Pacers8c11,689$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.8248845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Clippers77c11,305$8,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.2620454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f1…240fbacked Pacers1c11,122$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.862450%12 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Clippers59c10,800$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40027251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers77c10,603$8,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.722,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Pacers22c10,572$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.948728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers22c10,500$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.9486641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…e17dbacked Clippers78c10,300$8,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2665032%16 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5845…7903backed Pacers22c10,287$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.142015%3 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers77c10,243$7,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.074,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Pacers0c10,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers76c10,160$7,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.084,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Clippers50c10,000$4,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,035.278345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Pacers53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.9949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Clippers65c9,692$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,391.5352760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab7…24ecbacked Clippers79c9,630$7,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.3116065%104 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pacers44c9,572$4,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,169.622,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Pacers22c9,108$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.7437944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Clippers78c8,897$6,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.476944.9%31 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers21c8,807$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.521,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pacers21c8,759$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.4674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Clippers53c8,382$4,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,905.7131345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…ac40backed Pacers21c7,933$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.015339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Pacers22c7,888$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.4127241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Clippers42c7,809$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,518.961,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pacers30c7,662$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.41,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Pacers8c7,550$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61112357.7%71 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f13…dd28backed Clippers77c7,315$5,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Clippers58c7,208$4,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,997.272,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers22c7,200$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.7365939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed Pacers23c7,200$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.981861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Clippers46c7,024$3,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.4230840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Pacers22c7,000$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.2643438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Clippers46c6,756$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.0518440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clippers61c6,672$4,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.341,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Clippers48c6,666$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.38036.3%29 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e72…390fbacked Pacers22c6,655$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.17966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers50c6,646$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.541,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Pacers16c6,500$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.823179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Pacers57c6,075$3,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,445.3542153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Pacers21c6,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.953767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Clippers33c5,985$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,982.8617436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Clippers77c5,980$4,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.4355346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Pacers28c5,877$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.4926444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Clippers40c5,861$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,515.6334136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pacers19c5,830$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.281,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06b2…0c61backed Pacers0c5,553$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…780cbacked Clippers79c5,449$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.934854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Pacers78c5,355$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2005352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Clippers48c5,232$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.8418151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Clippers48c5,208$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.339547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Clippers45c5,139$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,852.3585344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Pacers40c5,072$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.63737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Clippers79c5,064$4,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.5222542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Clippers78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Pacers21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05062347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Clippers77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.993951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.