TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7e4…5b5cbacked Over53c19,934$10,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5651030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under47c11,802$5,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,255.061,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c6,647$3,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,523.11,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over47c4,674$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.381,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Over56c4,488$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.6310144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under60c2,254$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.7165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c1,830$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over38c1,813$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.152,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c1,045$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.532,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under59c977.24$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.873,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c936.64$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.323,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over5c870$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.982,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over57c702.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e9…39b0backed Over62c699.92$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.957152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c572.44$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.465,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over7c531.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.221957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under45c478.9$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.94434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdace…b62abacked Under47c425.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under45c405.11$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.8758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under49c375.05$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.491,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over54c352.32$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.674,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Under57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.883148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445c…c4f1backed Over54c319.78$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.682365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under47c298.43$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1716242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over58c288$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c253.89$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.182,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c252.35$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.373,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c241.74$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.174,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3918744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over58c215$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.723435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe961…c32bbacked Over74c187.57$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9211459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4638…aa0ebacked Over57c176.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4af4…f9e0backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c160.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.961,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under46c151.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7176247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dfe…ba7ebacked Over58c146.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1212548%60 W · 65 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db2…f8a2backed Over47c122.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over53c111$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.831,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over58c105$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.941556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Over37c104.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.195152.9%27 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under51c104$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1830840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked Under44c100.35$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.23852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over58c100.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1812558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5663353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over55c96.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.338947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under41c90.6$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3517643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacfc…5a21backed Over54c88.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.76875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under63c88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5631345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over29c87.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0265542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54df…51fabacked Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014963.1%94 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c82.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.563,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Under52c78.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.545356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under32c76.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1126337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c75.68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.624,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c71.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.365,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over59c71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8920147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e8…1c01backed Over56c65.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.927451.4%38 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b9f…b100backed Over46c65.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a9…5dcabacked Under63c63.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under48c62.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7542352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Over46c61.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.19944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over66c60.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Under47c60.65$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1413038.5%50 W · 80 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over53c60.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c59.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.372,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under42c57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0623651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Under44c57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.929551.6%49 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under56c53.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.224138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0daa…509fbacked Over58c51.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2502…87e5backed Under46c39.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.163056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4936154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under44c36.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7191746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Under48c31.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.227856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over39c29.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3518052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over45c28.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7420049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2608…4468backed Over52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Under56c27.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.310456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e68…75bbbacked Over55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155569.1%38 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under49c27.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7887744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa13…b80abacked Over39c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over44c25.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.293,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over50c25.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5762047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over45c25.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3536949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under51c22.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0523048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over48c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.551,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under54c20.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5427463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xedf9…d796backed Over53c20.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1137959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14d1…c2a1backed Over59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.42per pick54cpaid-75.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ff8…9d2dbacked Over59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-59.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x98aa…2700backed Over62c19.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed Over58c17.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.277650%38 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.