TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Clippers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$367,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$377,024

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb7…1f17backed Clippers54c46,264$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers46c37,025$16,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,050.291,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Clippers52c22,578$11,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,740.493847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Clippers53c20,145$10,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,676.8529351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Pacers48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,40029055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Pacers47c19,166$9,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,15826253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c1a…055abacked Pacers47c10,379$4,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,500.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers46c10,348$4,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,581.834,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pacers47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.9848343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba8…70c9backed Pacers47c9,661$4,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,120.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Clippers55c9,219$5,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0506045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac5a…933bbacked Pacers47c9,011$4,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,775.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x336d…061abacked Pacers47c8,823$4,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,676.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x806a…8e83backed Clippers53c8,813$4,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,670.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236a…3773backed Clippers53c8,782$4,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,654.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0817…6164backed Clippers53c8,780$4,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,653.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea65…152bbacked Clippers53c8,668$4,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,594.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7966…4c38backed Clippers53c8,586$4,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,550.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc1…950cbacked Pacers47c8,540$4,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,526.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pacers49c8,337$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,265.671,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44d…b285backed Clippers53c8,331$4,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,415.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba00…841ebacked Clippers53c8,249$4,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,371.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers48c7,918$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,117.081,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ab…6db3backed Clippers53c7,832$4,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,151.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Clippers53c7,623$4,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,075.7787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab3…2389backed Clippers53c7,600$4,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,028250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc35c…a8e1backed Clippers53c7,471$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d09…7284backed Clippers53c7,398$3,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,920.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb11b…ab33backed Pacers47c7,375$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,908.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers46c7,358$3,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,991.164,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b43…f478backed Pacers47c7,251$3,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08f6…7501backed Clippers53c7,045$3,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1863…fdaebacked Pacers47c6,938$3,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,677.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f8…4845backed Pacers47c6,891$3,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,652.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2fa…1217backed Pacers47c6,874$3,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2355…572dbacked Pacers47c6,854$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,632.62475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a8…6046backed Clippers53c6,823$3,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,616.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f64…1b7cbacked Clippers53c6,821$3,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,615.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c5…99ddbacked Pacers47c6,808$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,608.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc706…c2dcbacked Pacers47c6,793$3,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f60…d4babacked Clippers53c6,775$3,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,590.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6bf…8eadbacked Pacers47c6,663$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bac…872bbacked Clippers53c6,510$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,450.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098f…4c78backed Clippers53c6,508$3,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf95…69b0backed Clippers53c6,427$3,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,406.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0371…8a83backed Clippers53c6,327$3,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,353.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a6f…5f0abacked Pacers47c6,185$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,278.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d9…4f18backed Clippers53c6,161$3,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,265.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e7…1571backed Clippers53c6,064$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,213.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79c…b036backed Pacers47c6,027$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,194.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Clippers52c5,998$3,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,118.912945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9560…d183backed Pacers47c5,945$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6750…bd04backed Pacers47c5,939$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.67475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8e…dfc6backed Pacers47c5,891$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6324…8a93backed Pacers47c5,413$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e03…d46cbacked Clippers53c5,396$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x194f…2005backed Clippers52c5,288$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e77…09b8backed Pacers47c5,271$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,793.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…cc49backed Pacers47c5,265$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b5…d962backed Pacers47c5,112$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x990d…8341backed Pacers47c5,034$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.023100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d11…858dbacked Clippers53c4,724$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b05…0c17backed Pacers47c4,011$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.83475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pacers47c3,564$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.911,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e91…34b7backed Clippers53c3,544$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers60c3,307$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers52c3,112$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ab…5135backed Pacers47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf96…5156backed Clippers53c2,970$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5741442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers45c2,384$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.454,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Pacers48c2,080$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.5928554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Clippers53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.8987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcac…9e97backed Pacers47c1,938$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Clippers55c1,845$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.993745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers46c1,596$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Clippers52c1,401$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.5887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Clippers53c1,321$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70214455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Clippers53c1,317$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69819359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers22c1,269$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.562,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d9…507abacked Clippers53c1,257$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers45c1,244$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Pacers47c1,211$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.7424650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfd…1197backed Clippers53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pacers44c1,011$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.182,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe276…2192backed Clippers53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Pacers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Pacers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Pacers48c999.97$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9929149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pacers47c999.95$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.9884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pacers46c983.06$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.395,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf796…3ac5backed Clippers53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Clippers53c937.55$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers47c911.49$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.152,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…6466backed Clippers53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea0c…434bbacked Clippers55c818.18$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers48c779$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Clippers52c749.97$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9932347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pacers48c716.19$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.831,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c5…8511backed Clippers55c646.11$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.481060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.