NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc142385cc6823e44f4dfef8a82a170b0df47a74ce2ee70e8b7114447ec4dcf58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 9,350$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,581.56 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 8,314$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 3,677$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.87 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 47c | 2,991$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.6 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 55c | 1,197$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.65 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 1,162$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 47c | 768.93$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.18 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 32c | 433.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…fd2bbacked Under | 76c | 396.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.02 | 118 | 73.7%87 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 385.57$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.22 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 67c | 336.36$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 33c | 336.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 25c | 316.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 54c | 224.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Under | 52c | 191.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 189.73$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 142.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 21c | 130.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 47c | 116.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 109.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 102.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 45c | 99.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 47c | 88.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 43c | 85.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 46c | 83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 72.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 74c | 57.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 47c | 53.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…6d97backed Under | 44c | 45.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under | 51c | 41.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 32c | 38.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…747cbacked Over | 49c | 36.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 48c | 34.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Under | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…5734backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…bd66backed Over | 46c | 29.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7981…72bfbacked Under | 53c | 28.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 48c | 27.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…7564backed Under | 55c | 25.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Over | 47c | 25.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 48c | 25.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…b420backed Under | 56c | 21.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 48c | 21.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Under | 53c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked Over | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 67c | 15.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Clippers (-5.5)Pacers won
- Clippers vs. PacersClippers won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 244.5Under won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jarace Walker: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Clippers (-1.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Clippers (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Clippers (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Clippers (-9.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pacers (-5.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Pacers (-6.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.