TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,115 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c74,841$35,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,902.291,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a0…9a09backed Over52c70,730$36,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,779.443560%21 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0204,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over56c1,791$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c1,785$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.492,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c1,263$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.063,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Under48c1,171$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.152065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,141$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.821247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over43c1,060$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.11,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,005$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.551,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c981.52$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.025,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over47c966.13$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.222,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c871.82$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.84,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c838.55$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over54c642.99$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.2148751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c611.78$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.364,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under45c566.56$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.8529344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c544.63$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.782,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over50c514.87$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4444352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c487.86$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c449.27$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under66c416.67$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over56c413.75$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over51c336.68$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.711,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over52c334.79$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6247436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over51c313.29$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over51c303.92$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15514556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15625155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c298.52$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under47c276.6$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.641649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under56c264.14$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.472,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under46c230.54$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9658450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2743447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under45c222.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5352146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x402a…5656backed Under47c220$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1089260.9%56 W · 36 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011447.4%54 W · 60 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf05…3e27backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f39…2185backed Over56c171.45$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c156.34$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.731,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under49c150.15$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.581,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Over54c148.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over56c145.83$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6626043.8%114 W · 146 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a76…a276backed Over53c121.64$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Over53c104.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.172347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a1…4237backed Over53c97.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b8…7367backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019851%101 W · 97 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad74…d4e2backed Over53c88.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under46c86.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9437845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under48c82.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8514444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2938…34edbacked Under47c73.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over52c70.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.772334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c61.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.82,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.232148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Over53c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2122748.9%111 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over54c55.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over50c54.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2525138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under47c53.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5428643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over50c50.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4760945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22b…0ce3backed Over59c49.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under45c49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9532752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7050…958ebacked Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Over56c44.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Under49c43.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.982740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Over52c43.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.46546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over50c42.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.991,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014443.1%62 W · 82 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x479a…f7f1backed Under46c39.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.481450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80c7…d9c5backed Over53c37.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66e…b743backed Over53c37.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207047.1%33 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f2…2c56backed Under48c35.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.473366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed Under48c34.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.818354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6726…1a74backed Over53c32.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.295650%28 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under44c32.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0968645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over41c31.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.045,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under48c30.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5326450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33650%18 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc89c…df9abacked Under67c29.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.871947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…60f8backed Over54c29.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.041154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under50c29.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7242352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Under51c28.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.017856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4f1…1b7fbacked Over54c28.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6457…9ccfbacked Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Under46c27.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.936734.3%23 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under40c27.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a27…8b89backed Over44c27.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa7…d4febacked Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeadd…4da1backed Over53c26.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5957…6437backed Over51c24.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.645156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over56c23.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3510748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under43c23.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4310718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3364…8092backed Over53c21.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Over60c21.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1318242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1477…29b6backed Over52c21.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.033348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.