TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfabc…7178

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
620
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT19941.7%83 W · 116 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 199 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$39.3
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$24.47
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+241.1%+$61.16
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.63
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$15.76
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$44.66
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$67.77
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$40.21
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$27.84
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.42
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.96
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.26
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+179.6%+$163.09
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.38
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.02
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.78
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$30.66
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+193%+$28.95
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.39
Showing 25 of 199 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10738.3%41 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$22.19
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.96
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.53
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.39
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.05
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.96
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.87
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$150.47
Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Two Move · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Dota 2: Two Move vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.34
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$543.99
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.98
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.7
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$33.89
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.76
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.24
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$342.98
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$550.66
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.42
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$172.76
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT9176.9%70 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$6.77
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$2.9
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$3.42
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$8.18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$3.99
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$7.05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C or higher on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$20.92
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$15.46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+30%+$6.55
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 70°F or higher on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$6.53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.23
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or below on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.31
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$20.49
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$19.82
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$9.46
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$29.89
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.89
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$9.35
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT8354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$80.08
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+210.6%+$240.48
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$43.32
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$40.58
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.89
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.03
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.81
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.87
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.42
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.46
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.05
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.44
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.85
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.82
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.08
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.53
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.56
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.43
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.51
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.2
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$41.85
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.1
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT7332.9%24 W · 49 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.09
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$47.34
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.97
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$87.03
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.03
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.92
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.07
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.03
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.63
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+182.4%+$215.03
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.17
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.44
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.22
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+429%+$1,235.36
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.5
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$45.16
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Capitals vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$9.89
Wild vs. Bruinsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+55%+$10.31
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.59
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Blackhawks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.54
Ducks vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$22.49
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.29
Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.78
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$34.5
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.37
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.05
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+86%+$31.2
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$17.68
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.62
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$12.07
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)backed Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$74.43
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.99
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$9.33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$6.05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.36
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$7.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33%+$5.45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$60.39
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+115.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$101.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+525%+$126
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$24.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.