Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaf6c4d77568f16719a14d8aea4642a68a3f0f6ceddf5daddfc99ddf795b95bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 31c | 686.88$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.69 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 2c | 640.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…23fcbacked No | 80c | 616.82$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 76c | 471.47$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 437.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…8495backed No | 76c | 432.17$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes | 24c | 369.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 6c | 366.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 183 | 16.4%30 W · 153 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 19c | 320.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 24c | 320.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 7c | 318.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…c940backed Yes | 4c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 33c | 249.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 216.19$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 15c | 210.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 206.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed Yes | 33c | 199.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…48c4backed Yes | 27c | 197.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 185.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 8c | 159.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…020fbacked Yes | 27c | 159.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 22c | 145.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 22c | 143.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 67c | 131.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 113.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 27c | 110.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…9df3backed Yes | 27c | 100.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…d77bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 30c | 97.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 70c | 97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 69c | 93.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 29c | 85.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 33c | 85.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 26c | 82.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 72c | 81.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 80.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 25c | 80.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 25c | 78.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 17c | 78.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 72c | 75.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 77c | 71.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…8048backed Yes | 35c | 66.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 72c | 65.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…ae7bbacked Yes | 22c | 64.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 17c | 60.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…1b2fbacked Yes | 34c | 60.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +118%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…ae19backed Yes | 23c | 60.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 29c | 59.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 23c | 56.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c1…bec3backed Yes | 20c | 56.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed Yes | 21c | 55.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…184abacked No | 67c | 55.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 65c | 55.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 24c | 55.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 32c | 52.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 27c | 50.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 49.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…7deabacked Yes | 29c | 49.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 69c | 49.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 33c | 48.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…46b0backed Yes | 34c | 47.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 31c | 46.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 71c | 43.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 68c | 42.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…7dc6backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…57f6backed Yes | 29c | 41.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172e…997fbacked Yes | 29c | 41.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…bc77backed No | 71c | 41.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 28c | 40.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dea…3962backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 68c | 38.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…3ee4backed Yes | 32c | 37.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x395b…b370backed No | 69c | 36.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…ee6abacked Yes | 33c | 36.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2736…fdb9backed No | 69c | 35.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…e954backed Yes | 29c | 35.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 68c | 34.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 78c | 30.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…effbbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a5…40aebacked No | 69c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…b30abacked No | 75c | 29.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5208…ec3abacked No | 70c | 28.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…7227backed No | 68c | 28.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 97 | 79.4%77 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 77c | 28.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9814…c055backed No | 75c | 27.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…35c4backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 70c | 23.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 79c | 22.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 67c | 21.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…4613backed No | 68c | 21.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa061…abc0backed No | 70c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4f…ac4bbacked No | 66c | 20.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed No | 72c | 19.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.