TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5b0…64f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
278
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT17643.2%76 W · 100 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 176 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.91
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$23.87
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.03
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.74
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.1
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+435.3%+$44.67
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.63
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+149%+$130.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$20.41
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$24.16
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$24.98
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 176 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT4944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.66
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+900%+$899.99
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$467.07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$19.27
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$10.58
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+45%+$9.25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$68.75
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$145.36
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$14.35
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.83
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.64
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+240.2%+$163.14
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.91
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+311.3%+$158.75
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+55.8%+$181.6
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$30.69
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$128.04
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$34.44
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titansbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.06
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.42
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.57
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$46.24
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$33.7
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$24.41
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$28.41
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$26.3
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.56
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.86
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.86
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+117.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+1,013.7%+$122.41
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.26
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.28
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+527.7%+$84.43
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+310.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+220.5%+$111.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+400%+$69
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.