Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68403561d3da0b2b5a397cffce1246d3bb7dad981db64e6e61279ce1dfa5b76f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 17c | 2,723$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.68 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 4c | 2,048$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 4c | 722.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 33c | 616.19$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.04 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 59c | 582.47$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 6c | 570.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 528$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.94 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 496.27$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.95 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 26c | 482.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 18c | 450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 431.73$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 418.3$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.24 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 4c | 416.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 21c | 388.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 64c | 386.95$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 7c | 350.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 16c | 341$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 321.04$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 65c | 296.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 14c | 256.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 24c | 241.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 75c | 227.28$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 66c | 216.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 70c | 205.67$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 66c | 200.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 36c | 191.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 11c | 170.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 162.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 44c | 160.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 159.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 39c | 155.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 23c | 150.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 58c | 149.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 37c | 149.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 35c | 144$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…45d5backed Yes | 9c | 141.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 138.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Yes | 15c | 135.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 20c | 134.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…ef56backed Yes | 36c | 130.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 39c | 126.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 35c | 125.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…f087backed Yes | 32c | 121.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 244 | 32.8%80 W · 164 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 78c | 115.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 67c | 112.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 13c | 111.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 61c | 111.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 14c | 110.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…af82backed Yes | 27c | 105.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked Yes | 48c | 105.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 63c | 103.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 59c | 100.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…20e8backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Yes | 22c | 99.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 40c | 96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 95.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 75c | 93.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 70c | 93.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 39c | 92.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 92.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 55c | 92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 62c | 91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 72c | 90.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 32c | 89.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 88.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…e1f8backed No | 52c | 85.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 61c | 83.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 37c | 77.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 29c | 76.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 68c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 71c | 75.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 74c | 74.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…a783backed Yes | 20c | 74.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 34c | 72.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…befdbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 31c | 69.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 37c | 68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 56c | 67.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 58c | 63.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 61.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 57c | 59.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 55c | 59.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 37c | 59.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 63c | 58.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 67c | 58.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 38c | 57.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 59c | 56.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 64c | 55.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 66c | 55.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 54.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed Yes | 29c | 51.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 55c | 51.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.