TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36cb…63d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
358
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT28211%31 W · 251 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 282 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.98
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+360.8%+$79.38
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.54
Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+1,133.1%+$430.57
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$194.35
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.11
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 282 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.7
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.7
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$862.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$99.95
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+205.1%+$132.66
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Norway vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$67.55
Norway vs. England: England 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$33.87
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$50.22
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+186.3%+$47.82
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16.47
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.95
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Marlins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.97
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Brewers vs. Cardinalsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Athletics vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+313.1%+$126.89
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$11.65
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.41
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+300%+$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.