MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece9215e63d975c3041facbf8cca7225ad21d40f3a089fa903c8371f8a572b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Brewers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cardinals | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,199.98 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 37c | 38,648$14,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,216.54 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Brewers | 53c | 33,824$17,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,926.85 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cardinals | 72c | 19,449$13,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,487.99 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cardinals | 47c | 6,217$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.22 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Brewers | 33c | 6,059$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.01 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 63c | 5,339$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 46c | 4,652$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.91 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cardinals | 63c | 3,558$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.3 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brewers | 22c | 3,062$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.47 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 60c | 2,316$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.82 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 65c | 2,042$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.07 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 47c | 2,023$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.19 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cardinals | 71c | 2,010$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.02 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,962$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.87 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers | 53c | 1,886$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Brewers | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 46c | 1,712$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.41 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 47c | 1,390$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.39 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cardinals | 60c | 1,263$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.33 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Brewers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cardinals | 68c | 996.63$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.92 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Brewers | 2c | 946.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 53c | 943$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Cardinals | 64c | 918.99$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.38 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Brewers | 32c | 913.06$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.18 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 52c | 911.34$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.34 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 52c | 803.63$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.89 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Brewers | 4c | 760$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Brewers | 9c | 756.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Brewers | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Brewers | 1c | 737.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Brewers | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 56c | 710.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.21 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers | 7c | 644.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Brewers | 17c | 572.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 53c | 516$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.48 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brewers | 53c | 500.06$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.01 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Brewers | 45c | 500$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 24c | 480$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 60c | 478.9$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.68 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 47c | 430$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 26c | 400$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Brewers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Brewers | 54c | 372.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Brewers | 33c | 369.82$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 48c | 310.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brewers | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Brewers | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 36c | 278.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Brewers | 36c | 265.17$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 54c | 255$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Brewers | 57c | 245$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Cardinals | 47c | 236.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Brewers | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 48c | 220.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Cardinals | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Brewers | 53c | 208.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40dc…563dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 208.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Brewers | 54c | 205.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Brewers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…1ff7backed Brewers | 54c | 190.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Brewers | 53c | 189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Brewers | 53c | 189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Brewers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Brewers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked Brewers | 6c | 185$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Brewers | 52c | 170.77$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 160.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Brewers | 49c | 158.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Brewers | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Brewers | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 379 | 51.7%196 W · 183 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Brewers | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 48c | 146.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d4…47d8backed Brewers | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee72…234cbacked Brewers | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Brewers | 54c | 104.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Brewers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Brewers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Brewers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed Brewers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Brewers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Brewers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc5…470ebacked Brewers | 54c | 97.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Brewers | 13c | 95.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0793…66a1backed Cardinals | 48c | 94.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…a4a3backed Brewers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…8917backed Brewers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 32c | 89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Brewers | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brewers vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.