TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e32…f587

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: WNBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Cardinalsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Angels vs. Rockiesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.13
Padres vs. White Soxbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Marlins vs. Rockiesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$116.43
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.29
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+122.8%+$22.07
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$22.85
White Sox vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$56.49
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.33
White Sox vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.46
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$67.55
Will Galatasaray win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Will Monaco win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.23
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sturm Graz vs. Bodo/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Celtic win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+49.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$68.17
Mercury vs. Libertybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+163%+$363.51
Fever vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.14
Mercury vs. Sparksbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$204.39
Storm vs. Feverbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wings vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$21.94
Fever vs Sunbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$69.73
Liberty vs Sparksbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.66
Sun vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$58
Storm vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$21.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.44
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Brighton vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16.94
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$13.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$9
Will Bayern München win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$7.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$627
Euro Basket: Slovenia vs Polandbacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$25.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.