TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Monaco win on 2025-09-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$465,177
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$509,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $465,177 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed Yes31c184,000$57,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,879.993522.9%8 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No69c140,447$96,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,024.888241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No65c82,044$53,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,715.3510443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes35c53,585$18,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,710.1917852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No69c30,000$20,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4501866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No68c17,695$11,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,698.488241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes32c13,612$4,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,355.935360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c11,352$3,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,827.221,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes31c11,111$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,444.411233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No65c10,813$7,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,787.8536851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes32c8,666$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.1212921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes31c7,641$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.4328543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes33c6,109$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.3729136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No66c5,203$3,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.079857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes34c5,202$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.7312956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes33c5,182$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.8919028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No70c4,468$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.5214952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes38c3,083$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.43655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32a…504cbacked No68c2,278$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes27c2,115$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No64c2,000$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.9719453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No64c1,854$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.1230657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No67c1,750$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.024944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes13c1,731$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes35c1,576$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.986955.1%38 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No63c1,574$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.7938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c1,465$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.1529846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No69c1,275$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.367342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6278…57e6backed Yes33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No67c1,124$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.522060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x493e…f994backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes32c1,000$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31529138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d1…817ebacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-81%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46cb…8eedbacked Yes6c835$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28811743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c781.96$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2091,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x212a…dbe8backed Yes16c668.59$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.285133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfba…9398backed No63c648.22$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.841172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+83.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes38c621.05$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2363036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f6…c600backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No61c550.44$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.924544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed No68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+281%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No64c495.31$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.317953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes34c484$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1424047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1810660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes5c420$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2129142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked No67c419.28$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.482060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked No74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.411553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes29c382$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.785115.7%8 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf78e…0956backed No79c374.32$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.931080%8 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No67c360$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.84445.5%20 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf6c…2888backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed No73c309.81$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.651877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…5a97backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9925450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9319344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc00…122dbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No66c266.71$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6839746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No67c208.15$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.694768.1%32 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes39c190$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.13336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd316…bca3backed Yes37c189.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3105…1285backed No68c173$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f77…bd05backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa772…a119backed No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes8c154.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.413232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No64c152.19$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7922547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24fc…bcd8backed Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.550%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ef2…6006backed No67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd3…c5f4backed Yes17c142.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked No67c142.29$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.291855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No70c140$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9924455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No63c114.29$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2916853.6%90 W · 78 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed No68c110.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2915966.7%106 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7f…9fecbacked Yes35c107.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.54650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e32…f587backed Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No63c103$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.119346.2%43 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.37931.6%25 W · 54 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Yes33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes34c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.64445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes33c87.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.827136.6%26 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82a3…5f75backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes23c78.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014655.5%81 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x897b…151ebacked Yes36c75.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9775…8746backed Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203240.6%13 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…7f7bbacked No68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed No68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.533158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed No68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5312854.7%70 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9e…7293backed No64c68.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.741060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.