TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x58f6…c600

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+257.1%+$514.29
Will Georgia win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$519.89
Will Uruguay win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$303.89
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Will England win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+95.3%+$254.57
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Maldives win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Australia win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+130.1%+$288.85
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Will Finland win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Slovakia win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+87.3%+$283.85
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$95.45
Will Germany win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Türkiye win on 2025-09-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$890.44
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+133.7%+$508.21
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,165.1
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$291.18
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+126.7%+$316.67
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.38
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$79.92
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Jaume Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
US Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
US Open: Leandro Riedi vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
US Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ugo Blanchetbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
US Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$150.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Yankeesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$355.5
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$766.76
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Reds vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+77.3%+$77.34
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+47.5%+$71.29
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$132.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+121.2%+$242.39
Euro Basket: Italy vs Sloveniabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Euro Basket: France vs Georgiabacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Euro Basket: Poland vs Bosnia and Herzegovinabacked Poland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$144.12
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.56
Euro Basket: Poland vs Belgiumbacked Poland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Euro Basket: Spain vs Greecebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$93
Euro Basket: Lithuania vs Swedenbacked Lithuania · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Euro Basket: Italy vs Spainbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Euro Basket: Finland vs Lithuaniabacked Lithuania · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+79.7%+$51.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+61.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$379.17
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+100%+$346
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+113.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+45.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+68.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$571.97
Will Malmo FF win on 2025-08-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+236.2%+$118.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing - Darren Till vs. Luke Rockholdbacked Rockhold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Boxing – Salt Papi vs. Tony Fergusonbacked Salt Papi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+138.8%+$159.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karlsruher SC win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$310.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.