Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Spain vs Greece
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf13bab9f6ddd374cc53c2e4b59ab18d8f6ccc22c5a69733b85b9ecac9987121d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Greeceof Spain, Greece
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Spain | 10c | 4,396$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8f…ef1bbacked Greece | 76c | 3,003$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Spain | 24c | 1,683$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Spain | 5c | 1,590$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Spain | 30c | 1,050$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.96 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Spain | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Greece | 71c | 893.55$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.49 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Greece | 74c | 822.9$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.95 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Spain | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Spain | 33c | 740.12$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Spain | 19c | 669.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Greece | 74c | 575.03$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Spain | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked Greece | 73c | 467.12$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Greece | 74c | 388.02$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Spain | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Spain | 26c | 353.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Greece | 71c | 351.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Spain | 31c | 321.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Spain | 33c | 303.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Spain | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Greece | 59c | 245.87$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Greece | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +198.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Greece | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Spain | 30c | 193.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Spain | 28c | 167.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Spain | 14c | 150.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Spain | 32c | 126.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Greece | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Greece | 60c | 94.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Spain | 33c | 84.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked Greece | 74c | 80.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Spain | 41c | 71.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Greece | 68c | 68.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…2ce2backed Spain | 18c | 64.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Greece | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…4f2cbacked Spain | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Spain | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…b6f5backed Greece | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Spain | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…0293backed Greece | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Greece | 54c | 41.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Greece | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Greece | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…ec1bbacked Greece | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Greece | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Greece | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Greece | 68c | 25.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba24…a09bbacked Greece | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.