TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3606…9bd2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.09
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greecebacked Turkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$40.89
Euro Basket: Italy vs Sloveniabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.62
Euro Basket: Poland vs Bosnia and Herzegovinabacked Poland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+55.7%+$330.65
Euro Basket: Finland vs Serbiabacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+331.3%+$471.16
Euro Basket: Latvia vs Lithuaniabacked Lithuania · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$388.72
Euro Basket: Portugal vs Germanybacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.01
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Serbiabacked Turkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+180.4%+$543.61
Euro Basket: Finland vs Germanybacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Euro Basket: Spain vs Greecebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Euro Basket: Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.21
Euro Basket: Lithuania vs Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Euro Basket: Estonia vs Portugalbacked Estonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Euro Basket: Italy vs Spainbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Euro Basket: Finland vs Lithuaniabacked Lithuania · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+72.8%+$291.23
Euro Basket: Sweden vs Montenegrobacked Montenegro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$310.38
Euro Basket: Poland vs Israelbacked Poland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
Euro Basket: Italy vs Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.53
Euro Basket: Lithuania vs Germanybacked Lithuania · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.71
Euro Basket: Estonia vs Latviabacked Estonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.03
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Alcaraz? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.94
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$579.17
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
US Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+259.8%+$259.82
US Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+359.9%+$102.69
US Open: Jessica Pegula vs Victoria Azarenkabacked Azarenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
US Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$119.08
US Open: Adam Walton vs Chak Lam Coleman Wongbacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+173.1%+$197.57
US Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jerome Kymbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.5
US Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.03
US Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.19
ATP Toronto – Tiafoe vs. De Minaurbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
ATP Toronto – Khachanov vs. Ruudbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$136.31
ATP Toronto – Perricard vs. Runebacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2025 ATP Washington tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$167
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+436.1%+$150.44
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Celta Vigo vs. Girona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.24
Will Alaves win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$90.53
Will Getafe win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+104%+$208.02
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.64
Will Real Betis vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$196
Will Valencia vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.78
Will Celta Vigo vs. Real Betis end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$41.79
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$20.74
Will Villarreal win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$21.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+165.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic vs. FC Kairat Almaty end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$87.65
Will Fenerbahçe vs. Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+242.8%+$125.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+112.2%+$224.37
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+69.8%+$263.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikos vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.