Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Georgia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb757f5a2c867308579609c8bee842dc1de102800b7b90fe839fb272595c3d19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Herzegovinaof Herzegovina, Georgia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Herzegovina | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Georgia | 44c | 1,622$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.89 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Georgia | 64c | 1,108$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Georgia | 49c | 1,075$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Georgia | 50c | 1,052$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Herzegovina | 46c | 1,000$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Georgia | 47c | 994.39$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.24 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Georgia | 44c | 974.64$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Georgia | 61c | 815.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Herzegovina | 57c | 707.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Herzegovina | 40c | 603.6$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Herzegovina | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Herzegovina | 39c | 500.9$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.9 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Georgia | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Georgia | 62c | 450$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Georgia | 62c | 401.95$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Herzegovina | 49c | 298.23$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Herzegovina | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…c24fbacked Georgia | 22c | 191.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…9decbacked Herzegovina | 52c | 184.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Herzegovina | 40c | 178.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +127%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Georgia | 59c | 156.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…729bbacked Georgia | 59c | 130$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Herzegovina | 37c | 100.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Herzegovina | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…811abacked Georgia | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Herzegovina | 43c | 91.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Georgia | 17c | 84.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Herzegovina | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Georgia | 63c | 61.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…4f2cbacked Herzegovina | 40c | 58.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Herzegovina | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…b6f5backed Herzegovina | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Herzegovina | 73c | 49.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Georgia | 61c | 49.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Herzegovina | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Herzegovina | 73c | 43.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Herzegovina | 37c | 37.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Georgia | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…d004backed Georgia | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…26abbacked Georgia | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Georgia | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Herzegovina | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…b377backed Georgia | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.