TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6ff…1eb6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
266
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT7251.4%37 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.63
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$25.25
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.2
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.37
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$33.47
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.17
Pistons vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$34.99
Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$72.8
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+65.7%+$13.15
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.47
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.87
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.69
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+60.2%+$10.6
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.41
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$10.69
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.29
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5450%27 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.17
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.14
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$16.77
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$72.63
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$22.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.37
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$75.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$19.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.82
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$245.06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.53
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$17.5
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.11
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST3053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.94
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$49.03
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+172.2%+$65.45
Will Slavia Praha win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$16.27
Will Celtic win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$43.6
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$21.69
Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+98%+$19.61
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$47.78
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Inter Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.93
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$43.27
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Botafogo (To Advance)backed Botafogo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid beat RB Salzburg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23.87
Will Wydad AC beat Al Ain? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Fluminense beat Mamelodi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
PSG vs. Seattle Sounders: 4+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$10.76
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Shuai Zhang vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.1
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.33
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.38
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.71
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.99
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+56.9%+$27.16
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$18.34
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$36.04
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$50.55
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.94
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.2
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Girona vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$33.55
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$27.16
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$53.33
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$63.26
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$40.17
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.12
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$13
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.37
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Mariners vs. Oriolesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.63
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+68.8%+$20.18
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$42.07
Twins vs. Rockiesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$10.82
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Astros vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.61
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.99
Phillies vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$55.16
Mercury vs. Wingsbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.6
Sparks vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.99
Mercury vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$36.7
Mercury vs Stormbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Valkyries vs Skybacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.66
Wings vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Liberty vs Wingsbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Dream vs Skybacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
Mystics vs Dreambacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.05
Liberty vs Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.04
Valkyries vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.37
Dream vs Skybacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+26%+$12.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$30.31
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bills (-10.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$10.82
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.68
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+93.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$46.3
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$38.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$19.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-10-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$32.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$18.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.