Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-10-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bb73037ff34b937168cf7ff8f8ef0a3304111b9d293df1e183c5c4fc9eb1369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 44c | 4,625$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.94 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 56c | 4,536$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.49 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 42c | 4,059$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.22 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 3,101$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 36c | 2,791$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 55c | 1,999$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.45 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 1,583$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.22 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 77c | 1,470$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.75 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 31c | 1,299$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.12 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 54c | 1,025$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.5 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 54c | 554.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.68 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Yes | 46c | 486.26$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 55c | 450$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 54c | 439.39$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.27 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 54c | 439.13$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.18 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 56c | 321$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 27c | 202.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 55c | 195$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 42c | 175$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdc…e35fbacked No | 56c | 175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…1c79backed Yes | 46c | 174.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcb…575ebacked Yes | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes | 46c | 100.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 68c | 97.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 45c | 87.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 46c | 75.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…aebdbacked No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…357fbacked Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 67c | 54.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a19…6f9cbacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…395dbacked Yes | 76c | 50.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed No | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b60…98a4backed Yes | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 60c | 31.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…62ecbacked Yes | 46c | 28.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9993…a4cfbacked No | 55c | 28.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…8edfbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c60…ea1dbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-10-02?this page
- Will Rangers win on 2025-10-02?No won
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Rangers end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.