Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers win on 2025-10-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98ebd6b95a36d3f9a8a3a27b40c8221c3e3e8866a17b66aa2e58d4c0e8999f3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 13c | 6,465$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.59 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 17c | 5,625$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 70c | 4,474$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.07 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 71c | 3,339$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.72 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 2,537$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.81 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 29c | 2,271$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.6 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 30c | 1,971$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.61 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 1,137$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…9599backed Yes | 29c | 1,107$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 1c | 1,059$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 922.51$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.75 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 70c | 554.98$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 29c | 337.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 21c | 308.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 71c | 195$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 168$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 26c | 158.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 111.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…ff81backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691d…599fbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…357fbacked Yes | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed No | 71c | 70.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…0009backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 28c | 41.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…8675backed No | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers win on 2025-10-02?this page
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Rangers end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2025-10-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.