TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6dff…bc36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT7243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.19
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.68
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$60.5
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$419.25
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Lakers vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+156.4%+$30.5
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Mavericks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Mavericks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+150.2%+$31
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$28.3
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-3.5)backed Qairat FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+102%+$50.5
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-0.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$43.6
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+143.9%+$29.5
AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.64
Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+138.1%+$28.99
Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.69
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+284.6%+$37
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Páfos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+106.7%+$41.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Juventus FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$43.49
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30.08
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+106.2%+$51.5
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed FC København · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
Spread: Juventus FC (-0.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Juventus FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+117.4%+$16.2
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$44.99
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-0.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Sporting CP vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.84
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.5
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$374.85
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Brentford vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.98
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.14
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Will Everton win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Will Wolves win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+37%+$8.1
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Leeds United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.41
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.52
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+98%+$15.34
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.88
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+218.2%+$35.66
Will Slovenia vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.8
Will Wales vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Romania vs. Austria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Romania win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Japan win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+147.9%+$35.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-0.5)backed Celtic FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
FC Utrecht vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.1
FC Midtjylland vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-0.5)backed FC Red Bull Salzburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$462
Will Rangers win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.12
Will FC Porto vs. Crvena Zvezda end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+106.6%+$25.8
Bengals vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2025-10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will EC Bahia win on 2025-10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$165
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.